Queen's Indian Defense
47 variations · 1.3M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
Black expected score · Overall
47.7%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 47.8%.
Measured over 1.3M games at this level and clock.
Black comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the ranked list.
Outcomes for Black
Draw 6.5 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 1.3M games
- Rank among the families Black can choose here
- #38 of 62
- Games in this context
- 1.3M
- Best context
- 50.7% at 1200-1399 Rapid
- Worst context
- 39.4% at 2500+ Rapid
- Variations measured
- 47
- Average game length
- 38 moves
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
What to play from here
Black · OverallThese are the moves players actually choose from here, ranked by how they score. A higher score is a better bet on the numbers alone — familiarity and playstyle still matter.
Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 54.2% at 0-999, 41.2% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (992 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.1% expected score (1,049 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 55.9% expected score (222 games)
- 0-999 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 26.2% expected score (9 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 45.0% expected score (3,786 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (4,358 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.1% expected score (887 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 67.4% expected score (10 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 60.7% expected score (36 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (10,912 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (14,918 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.7% expected score (2,972 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 41.5% expected score (75 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 44.0% expected score (82 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (24,892 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (38,547 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.0% expected score (9,118 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.3% expected score (417 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 46.5% expected score (98 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (43,124 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (76,664 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (18,281 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 48.6% expected score (1,457 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 53.7% expected score (53 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (66,132 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (144,726 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (29,993 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.1% expected score (2,548 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 57.3% expected score (26 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (95,511 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (220,108 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (34,230 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 44.6% expected score (1,899 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 41.3% expected score (10 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.9% expected score (142,630 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (205,383 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 45.4% expected score (22,633 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 42.8% expected score (720 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 44.7% expected score (74,084 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 42.6% expected score (35,917 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 39.4% expected score (2,906 games)
- 2500+ rating, Classical: 38.1% expected score (225 games)
47 variations · ranked by floor
Floor — the worst score you would still get, 90% confident.
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Queen's Indian Defense family scores 47.7% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 47.6% and 47.8% — from 1.3M Lichess games across 47 variations. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 1.3M+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Queen's Indian Defense win rate?
Across the Queen's Indian Defense's 47 variations, Black wins 44.4%, draws 6.5% and loses 49.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.7%. It rests on 1.3M rated games from Lichess.
How many Queen's Indian Defense variations are there?
47 Queen's Indian Defense variations have a page of their own, each broken down by rating and by clock.
At what rating does the Queen's Indian Defense perform best?
The Queen's Indian Defense family performs best for Black at 1800-1999, with an Expected Score of 48.6% (243K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read. Performance may vary by specific variation.
Is the Queen's Indian Defense better in blitz or rapid?
For Black, the Queen's Indian Defense scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 47.8% in Blitz (742K games) against 47.7% in Rapid (121K games).
How sharp is the Queen's Indian Defense?
Queen's Indian Defense games are 93.5% decisive (non-draws), with an average length of 38 moves. Sharpness varies by specific variation.
Is the Queen's Indian Defense a good opening family?
The Queen's Indian Defense family is hard work for Black — it favours White overall. Across its games, Black wins 44.4% and loses 49.1%. Results differ between its 47 variations, so open the one you play for its own figures.