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Queen's Indian Defense: Riumin Variation

21K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds

47.2%

40%55%
Floor46.6%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 47.8%.

Measured over 21K games at this level and clock.

Tough Sellloses more often than it wins at this level

Black comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the list.

Outcomes for Black

Draw 7.5 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 21K games

Rank among the families Black can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
21K
Best context
49.5% at 1800-1999 Bullet
Worst context
43.8% at 1600-1799 Blitz
Average game length
40 moves
Games that end decisively
92.5%
Draws
7.5%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 13.5% · Classical best · Rapid worst

Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 50.0% at 0-999, 36.0% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999———
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 40.9% expected score (15 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 41.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 61.8% expected score (7 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 42.4% expected score (70 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (67 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 42.4% expected score (213 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 44.7% expected score (205 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 58.8% expected score (44 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (485 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 43.8% expected score (656 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (127 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (637 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (2,063 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.5% expected score (356 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 45.3% expected score (41 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (1,004 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.1% expected score (4,409 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.0% expected score (886 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 34.4% expected score (40 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (1,890 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.6% expected score (4,810 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (663 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 28.0% expected score (28 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (1,060 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 43.9% expected score (884 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 42.3% expected score (63 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 10.0% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Indian Defense
47.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation
48.3%
Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Traditional Variation, Nimzowitsch Line
49.8%
Queen's Indian Defense: Spassky System
48.5%
Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Traditional Variation
50.0%
Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Traditional Line
52.6%
Analyze Queen's Indian Defense: Riumin Variation PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Queen's Indian Defense: Riumin Variation scores 47.2% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 46.6% and 47.8% — from 21K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
21K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Riumin Variation win rate?

Playing the Queen's Indian Defense: Riumin Variation, Black wins 43.4%, draws 7.5% and loses 49.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.2%. It rests on 21K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Indian Defense: Riumin Variation perform best?

The Queen's Indian Defense: Riumin Variation performs best for Black at 1800-1999, with an Expected Score of 48.5% (3.1K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Queen's Indian Defense: Riumin Variation better in blitz or rapid?

For Black, the Queen's Indian Defense: Riumin Variation scores higher in Rapid: an Expected Score of 46.7% in Blitz (13K games) against 48.9% in Rapid (2.2K games).

How sharp is the Queen's Indian Defense: Riumin Variation?

The Queen's Indian Defense: Riumin Variation has a sharpness score of 92.5 (decisive), meaning 92.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 40 moves.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Riumin Variation win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, Black wins 45.2%, draws 3.7% and loses 51.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.0%. It rests on 148 Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Riumin Variation win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, Black wins 42.8%, draws 3.7% and loses 53.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.7%. It rests on 467 Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Riumin Variation win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, Black wins 44.8%, draws 4.3% and loses 50.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.0%. It rests on 1.3K Lichess games, which average 35 moves.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Riumin Variation win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, Black wins 45.7%, draws 5.5% and loses 48.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.5%. It rests on 3.1K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Riumin Variation win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, Black wins 43.1%, draws 7.5% and loses 49.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.9%. It rests on 6.3K Lichess games, which average 39 moves.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Riumin Variation win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, Black wins 43.4%, draws 8.3% and loses 48.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.6%. It rests on 7.4K Lichess games, which average 41 moves.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Riumin Variation win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, Black wins 40.1%, draws 11.2% and loses 48.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.7%. It rests on 2.0K Lichess games, which average 45 moves.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Riumin Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, Black wins 45.3%, draws 5.3% and loses 49.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.0%. It rests on 5.4K Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Riumin Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, Black wins 42.6%, draws 8.2% and loses 49.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.7%. It rests on 13K Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Riumin Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, Black wins 44.4%, draws 8.9% and loses 46.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.9%. It rests on 2.2K Lichess games.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Riumin Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical, Black wins 31.0%, draws 8.8% and loses 60.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 35.4%. It rests on 129 Lichess games.

Is the Queen's Indian Defense: Riumin Variation a good opening?

The Queen's Indian Defense: Riumin Variation is hard work for Black — it favours White. Across all ratings, Black wins 43.4% of its games and loses 49.1%. It performs best at 1800-1999. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.