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Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Traditional Variation, Nimzowitsch Line

137K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score47.0%Range (90% confident): 46.8% – 47.2%Based on 137K games
0%47.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.8% – 47.2%
Outcome Distribution
43.8%6.4%49.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
7...d5
Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Traditional Variation, Nimzowitsch Line
Analyzen=137K
Avg Length38 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.4%

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Traditional Variation, Nimzowitsch Line expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Traditional Variation, Nimzowitsch Line has a 47.0% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 46.8% and 47.2%), based on 137K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 47% → 38%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.7% win rate (51 games)
  • 1000-1199: 40.5% win rate (232 games)
  • 1200-1399: 43.9% win rate (885 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.0% win rate (3,171 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.5% win rate (8,937 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.4% win rate (23,557 games)
  • 2000-2199: 44.6% win rate (42,259 games)
  • 2200-2499: 42.3% win rate (45,968 games)
  • 2500+: 37.5% win rate (12,405 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (44%), worst in UltraBullet (35%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 35.4% win rate (31 games)
  • Bullet: 44.0% win rate (67,647 games)
  • Blitz: 43.7% win rate (62,137 games)
  • Rapid: 42.2% win rate (7,205 games)
  • Classical: 38.9% win rate (445 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (27 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 43.3% expected score (21 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 41.5% expected score (134 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 45.5% expected score (75 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (21 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 46.7% expected score (454 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 45.0% expected score (355 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (70 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 27.8% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 23.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (1,505 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.7% expected score (1,406 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.0% expected score (230 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 53.9% expected score (24 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 32.6% expected score (10 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (3,810 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (4,398 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 54.2% expected score (662 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 44.9% expected score (57 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (8,323 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.7% expected score (13,427 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.2% expected score (1,650 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 49.4% expected score (153 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.0% expected score (15,348 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (24,060 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 46.0% expected score (2,695 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 48.1% expected score (152 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (26,939 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 44.5% expected score (17,206 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 43.0% expected score (1,773 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 42.1% expected score (49 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 41.7% expected score (11,107 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 38.9% expected score (1,189 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 37.0% expected score (102 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (7 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Indian Defense
47.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation
48.3%
Queen's Indian Defense: Spassky System
48.5%
Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Traditional Variation
50.0%
Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Traditional Line
52.6%
Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation
51.1%
Analyze Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Traditional Variation, Nimzowitsch Line PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Traditional Variation, Nimzowitsch Line win rate?

The Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Traditional Variation, Nimzowitsch Line has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 137K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Traditional Variation, Nimzowitsch Line perform best?

The Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Traditional Variation, Nimzowitsch Line performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 54.7% win rate for white (12K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Traditional Variation, Nimzowitsch Line better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (50.9%) outperforms Classical (43.8%) by 7.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Traditional Variation, Nimzowitsch Line?

The Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Traditional Variation, Nimzowitsch Line has a sharpness score of 93.6 (decisive), meaning 93.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Traditional Variation, Nimzowitsch Line win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Traditional Variation, Nimzowitsch Line has a 55.5% (90% CI: 50.1%-60.8%) win rate for white, based on 232 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Traditional Variation, Nimzowitsch Line win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Traditional Variation, Nimzowitsch Line has a 51.7% (90% CI: 49.0%-54.5%) win rate for white, based on 885 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Traditional Variation, Nimzowitsch Line win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Traditional Variation, Nimzowitsch Line has a 48.4% (90% CI: 46.9%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 3.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Traditional Variation, Nimzowitsch Line win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Traditional Variation, Nimzowitsch Line has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.1%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 8.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Traditional Variation, Nimzowitsch Line win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Traditional Variation, Nimzowitsch Line has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.8%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 24K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Traditional Variation, Nimzowitsch Line win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Traditional Variation, Nimzowitsch Line has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.4%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 42K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Traditional Variation, Nimzowitsch Line win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Traditional Variation, Nimzowitsch Line has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.2%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 46K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 7.1% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Traditional Variation, Nimzowitsch Line win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Traditional Variation, Nimzowitsch Line has a 54.7% (90% CI: 54.0%-55.5%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 7.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Traditional Variation, Nimzowitsch Line win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Traditional Variation, Nimzowitsch Line has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.3%) win rate for white (68K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Traditional Variation, Nimzowitsch Line win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Traditional Variation, Nimzowitsch Line has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.2%) win rate for white (62K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.4%.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Traditional Variation, Nimzowitsch Line win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Traditional Variation, Nimzowitsch Line has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.2%-49.2%) win rate for white (7.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.6%.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Traditional Variation, Nimzowitsch Line win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Traditional Variation, Nimzowitsch Line has a 43.8% (90% CI: 39.9%-47.7%) win rate for white (445 Lichess games). Draw rate is 17.4%.

Is the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Traditional Variation, Nimzowitsch Line a good opening?

The Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Traditional Variation, Nimzowitsch Line is statistically favors white with a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.