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Queen's Indian Defense: Yates Variation

14K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score46.4%Range (90% confident): 45.8% – 47.1%Based on 14K games
0%46.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 45.8% – 47.1%
Outcome Distribution
42.3%8.2%49.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...Bb7
Queen's Indian Defense: Yates Variation
Analyzen=14K
Avg Length41 moves
Sharpness92%
Draw Rate8.2%

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Yates Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Indian Defense: Yates Variation has a 46.4% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 45.8% and 47.1%), based on 14K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~39%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 38.5% win rate (5 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.7% win rate (18 games)
  • 1200-1399: 32.8% win rate (61 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.3% win rate (153 games)
  • 1600-1799: 42.6% win rate (352 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.9% win rate (1,362 games)
  • 2000-2199: 43.6% win rate (3,898 games)
  • 2200-2499: 42.4% win rate (6,599 games)
  • 2500+: 36.9% win rate (2,000 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (60%), worst in Classical (40%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 42.4% win rate (3,423 games)
  • Blitz: 42.3% win rate (10,011 games)
  • Rapid: 42.0% win rate (963 games)
  • Classical: 39.8% win rate (50 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 8.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 84.8% expected score (10 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 25.6% expected score (21 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 42.5% expected score (32 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 55.3% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 58.9% expected score (38 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 43.8% expected score (87 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 42.5% expected score (25 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 45.7% expected score (79 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (216 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 39.2% expected score (54 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (245 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.7% expected score (986 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.4% expected score (118 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 42.6% expected score (12 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.6% expected score (506 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (3,090 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (282 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (20 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 45.8% expected score (1,564 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.1% expected score (4,588 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 48.2% expected score (437 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 37.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 43.2% expected score (962 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 40.5% expected score (999 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 30.6% expected score (37 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Indian Defense
47.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation
48.3%
Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Traditional Variation, Nimzowitsch Line
49.8%
Queen's Indian Defense: Spassky System
48.5%
Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Traditional Variation
50.0%
Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Traditional Line
52.6%
Analyze Queen's Indian Defense: Yates Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Yates Variation win rate?

The Queen's Indian Defense: Yates Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 48.8%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 14K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Indian Defense: Yates Variation perform best?

The Queen's Indian Defense: Yates Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 53.8% win rate for white (2.0K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Indian Defense: Yates Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.8%) outperforms Classical (45.6%) by 6.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Indian Defense: Yates Variation?

The Queen's Indian Defense: Yates Variation has a sharpness score of 91.8 (decisive), meaning 91.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 41 moves.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Yates Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Yates Variation has a 50.8% (90% CI: 44.2%-57.4%) win rate for white, based on 153 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Yates Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Yates Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 45.8%-54.6%) win rate for white, based on 352 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Yates Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Yates Variation has a 48.1% (90% CI: 45.9%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Yates Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Yates Variation has a 48.7% (90% CI: 47.4%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 3.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 7.7% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Yates Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Yates Variation has a 48.7% (90% CI: 47.7%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 6.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 8.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Yates Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Yates Variation has a 53.8% (90% CI: 52.0%-55.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 45 moves with a 9.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Yates Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Yates Variation has a 51.8% (90% CI: 50.4%-53.2%) win rate for white (3.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.8%.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Yates Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Yates Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.1%-49.7%) win rate for white (10K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.8%.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Yates Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Yates Variation has a 47.4% (90% CI: 44.8%-50.1%) win rate for white (963 Lichess games). Draw rate is 10.5%.

Is the Queen's Indian Defense: Yates Variation a good opening?

The Queen's Indian Defense: Yates Variation is statistically favors white with a 49.5% (90% CI: 48.8%-50.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.