Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation
13K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
White expected score · All ratings · All speeds
53.3%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 54.0%.
Measured over 13K games at this level and clock.
A strong choice for White at this level and clock.
Outcomes for White
Draw 9.5 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 13K games
- Rank among the families White can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 13K
- Best context
- 54.9% at 2000-2199 Bullet
- Worst context
- 51.0% at 2200-2499 Blitz
- Average game length
- 39 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 90.5%
- Draws
- 9.5%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Extra Analysis
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Where it holds · White score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 64.2% at 0-999, 61.1% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | — | ||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 62.9% expected score (14 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 71.1% expected score (8 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 72.0% expected score (19 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 74.7% expected score (37 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 42.6% expected score (12 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (47 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (100 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 72.4% expected score (41 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 59.3% expected score (123 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 60.0% expected score (293 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 57.5% expected score (99 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.7% expected score (243 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (487 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (126 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 69.6% expected score (19 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (427 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (1,146 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.2% expected score (263 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 54.4% expected score (33 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (635 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (2,419 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.4% expected score (409 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 56.1% expected score (23 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (1,006 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (3,185 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 52.9% expected score (295 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 62.8% expected score (22 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (900 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (834 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 56.8% expected score (65 games)
- 2500+ rating, Classical: 79.4% expected score (7 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation scores 53.3% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 52.6% and 54.0% — from 13K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 13K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation win rate?
Playing the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, White wins 48.5%, draws 9.5% and loses 42.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.3%. It rests on 13K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation perform best?
The Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation performs best for White at 1000-1199, with an Expected Score of 68.7% (68 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation better in blitz or rapid?
For White, the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation scores higher in Rapid: an Expected Score of 52.6% in Blitz (8.5K games) against 54.5% in Rapid (1.3K games).
How sharp is the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation?
The Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation has a sharpness score of 90.5 (decisive), meaning 90.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 39 moves.
What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, White wins 54.5%, draws 1.3% and loses 44.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.2%. It rests on 192 Lichess games, which average 30 moves.
What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, White wins 57.0%, draws 5.4% and loses 37.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 59.7%. It rests on 524 Lichess games, which average 34 moves.
What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, White wins 51.3%, draws 5.8% and loses 43.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.2%. It rests on 875 Lichess games, which average 34 moves.
What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, White wins 50.7%, draws 5.5% and loses 43.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.5%. It rests on 1.9K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.
What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, White wins 49.8%, draws 6.7% and loses 43.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.2%. It rests on 3.5K Lichess games, which average 38 moves.
What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, White wins 46.9%, draws 9.1% and loses 44.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.4%. It rests on 4.5K Lichess games, which average 40 moves.
What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation win rate at 2500+?
At 2500+, White wins 42.0%, draws 24.9% and loses 33.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.4%. It rests on 1.8K Lichess games, which average 47 moves.
What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, White wins 48.0%, draws 11.9% and loses 40.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.0%. It rests on 3.4K Lichess games.
What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, White wins 48.4%, draws 8.4% and loses 43.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.6%. It rests on 8.5K Lichess games.
What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, White wins 49.1%, draws 10.8% and loses 40.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.5%. It rests on 1.3K Lichess games.
What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation win rate in Classical?
In Classical, White wins 58.1%, draws 11.8% and loses 30.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 64.0%. It rests on 113 Lichess games.
Is the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation a good opening?
The Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation is good for White. Across all ratings, White wins 48.5% of its games and loses 42.0%. It performs best at 1000-1199. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.