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Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation, Botvinnik Attack

1.2K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score49.0%Range (90% confident): 46.6% – 51.3%Based on 1.2K games
0%49.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.6% – 51.3%
Outcome Distribution
47.2%3.4%49.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
7...Nh5
Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation, Botvinnik Attack
Analyzen=1.2K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.4%

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation, Botvinnik Attack expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation, Botvinnik Attack has a 49.0% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 46.6% and 51.3%), based on 1.2K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 60% → 54%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1000-1199: 29.4% win rate (7 games)
  • 1200-1399: 33.3% win rate (60 games)
  • 1400-1599: 45.5% win rate (169 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.3% win rate (342 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.9% win rate (369 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.9% win rate (187 games)
  • 2200-2499: 57.8% win rate (91 games)
  • 2500+: 54.3% win rate (16 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (50%), worst in Classical (44%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 48.6% win rate (306 games)
  • Blitz: 46.1% win rate (752 games)
  • Rapid: 49.6% win rate (173 games)
  • Classical: 44.0% win rate (11 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999————
1000-1199———
1200-1399——
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 39.9% expected score (28 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 29.7% expected score (28 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (30 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 44.8% expected score (124 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (56 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (243 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 57.1% expected score (41 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (83 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (214 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.7% expected score (66 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 44.0% expected score (56 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (87 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (41 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 62.1% expected score (40 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 60.6% expected score (46 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (9 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Indian Defense
47.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation
48.3%
Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Traditional Variation, Nimzowitsch Line
49.8%
Queen's Indian Defense: Spassky System
48.5%
Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Traditional Variation
50.0%
Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Traditional Line
52.6%
Analyze Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation, Botvinnik Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation, Botvinnik Attack win rate?

The Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation, Botvinnik Attack has a 49.3% (90% CI: 47.0%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation, Botvinnik Attack perform best?

The Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation, Botvinnik Attack performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 65.9% win rate for white (60 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation, Botvinnik Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (50.1%) outperforms Rapid (46.7%) by 3.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation, Botvinnik Attack?

The Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation, Botvinnik Attack has a sharpness score of 96.6 (very decisive), meaning 96.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation, Botvinnik Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation, Botvinnik Attack has a 53.1% (90% CI: 46.8%-59.3%) win rate for white, based on 169 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 1.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation, Botvinnik Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation, Botvinnik Attack has a 48.2% (90% CI: 43.8%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 342 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation, Botvinnik Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation, Botvinnik Attack has a 49.5% (90% CI: 45.3%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 369 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation, Botvinnik Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation, Botvinnik Attack has a 48.0% (90% CI: 42.1%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 187 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation, Botvinnik Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation, Botvinnik Attack has a 48.6% (90% CI: 43.9%-53.3%) win rate for white (306 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation, Botvinnik Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation, Botvinnik Attack has a 50.1% (90% CI: 47.1%-53.1%) win rate for white (752 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation, Botvinnik Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation, Botvinnik Attack has a 46.7% (90% CI: 40.5%-52.9%) win rate for white (173 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

Is the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation, Botvinnik Attack a good opening?

The Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation, Botvinnik Attack is statistically balanced with a 49.3% (90% CI: 47.0%-51.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.