Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Kramnik Variation
11K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
White expected score · All ratings · All speeds
54.7%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 55.5%.
Measured over 11K games at this level and clock.
A strong choice for White at this level and clock.
Outcomes for White
Draw 7.2 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 11K games
- Rank among the families White can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 11K
- Best context
- 57.7% at 2500+ Blitz
- Worst context
- 52.2% at 1800-1999 Blitz
- Average game length
- 40 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 92.8%
- Draws
- 7.2%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Where it holds · White score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 38.9% at 0-999, 59.2% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | — | — | |||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 46.3% expected score (12 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 63.1% expected score (10 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 55.3% expected score (55 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (41 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (95 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 46.5% expected score (127 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 55.7% expected score (16 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (218 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 57.9% expected score (298 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 59.3% expected score (58 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (333 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (507 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (96 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 54.4% expected score (10 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (520 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (1,206 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (145 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 59.7% expected score (14 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (983 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (3,255 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 62.9% expected score (170 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 43.1% expected score (13 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.2% expected score (1,224 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.7% expected score (1,446 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 72.8% expected score (49 games)
- 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Kramnik Variation scores 54.7% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 53.9% and 55.5% — from 11K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 11K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Kramnik Variation win rate?
Playing the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Kramnik Variation, White wins 51.1%, draws 7.2% and loses 41.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.7%. It rests on 11K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Kramnik Variation perform best?
The Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Kramnik Variation performs best for White at 2500+, with an Expected Score of 57.3% (2.7K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Kramnik Variation better in blitz or rapid?
For White, the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Kramnik Variation scores higher in Rapid: an Expected Score of 54.6% in Blitz (6.9K games) against 57.2% in Rapid (540 games).
How sharp is the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Kramnik Variation?
The Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Kramnik Variation has a sharpness score of 92.8 (decisive), meaning 92.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 40 moves.
What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Kramnik Variation win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, White wins 50.7%, draws 4.4% and loses 44.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.0%. It rests on 100 Lichess games, which average 32 moves.
What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Kramnik Variation win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, White wins 47.8%, draws 3.9% and loses 48.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.8%. It rests on 240 Lichess games, which average 35 moves.
What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Kramnik Variation win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, White wins 53.8%, draws 4.4% and loses 41.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.0%. It rests on 579 Lichess games, which average 36 moves.
What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Kramnik Variation win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, White wins 49.9%, draws 5.5% and loses 44.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.7%. It rests on 947 Lichess games, which average 38 moves.
What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Kramnik Variation win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, White wins 49.4%, draws 6.4% and loses 44.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.6%. It rests on 1.9K Lichess games, which average 39 moves.
What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Kramnik Variation win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, White wins 51.1%, draws 6.9% and loses 42.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.6%. It rests on 4.4K Lichess games, which average 39 moves.
What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Kramnik Variation win rate at 2500+?
At 2500+, White wins 52.2%, draws 10.0% and loses 37.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 57.3%. It rests on 2.7K Lichess games, which average 44 moves.
What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Kramnik Variation win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, White wins 51.6%, draws 5.7% and loses 42.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.5%. It rests on 3.4K Lichess games.
What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Kramnik Variation win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, White wins 50.8%, draws 7.6% and loses 41.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.6%. It rests on 6.9K Lichess games.
What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Kramnik Variation win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, White wins 51.2%, draws 11.9% and loses 36.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 57.2%. It rests on 540 Lichess games.
Is the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Kramnik Variation a good opening?
The Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Kramnik Variation is good for White. Across all ratings, White wins 51.1% of its games and loses 41.7%. It performs best at 2500+. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.