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Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Main Line

33K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score48.8%Range (90% confident): 48.4% – 49.3%Based on 33K games
0%48.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.4% – 49.3%
Outcome Distribution
45.3%7.1%47.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...d5
Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Main Line
Analyzen=33K
Avg Length38 moves
Sharpness93%
Draw Rate7.1%

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Main Line expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Main Line has a 48.8% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 48.4% and 49.3%), based on 33K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 53% → 37%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 53.3% win rate (82 games)
  • 1000-1199: 42.0% win rate (404 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.8% win rate (1,308 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.0% win rate (2,738 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.4% win rate (3,487 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.3% win rate (4,669 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.6% win rate (6,874 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.3% win rate (10,034 games)
  • 2500+: 36.9% win rate (3,785 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (56%), worst in Classical (41%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 55.6% win rate (3 games)
  • Bullet: 46.6% win rate (8,847 games)
  • Blitz: 44.8% win rate (20,222 games)
  • Rapid: 45.0% win rate (4,082 games)
  • Classical: 41.4% win rate (227 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (30 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 54.0% expected score (49 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 42.9% expected score (146 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 43.8% expected score (217 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 47.7% expected score (41 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (353 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (770 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.4% expected score (181 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 59.1% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 47.9% expected score (607 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.3% expected score (1,577 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (540 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 40.4% expected score (14 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (696 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.7% expected score (1,994 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.4% expected score (751 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 55.7% expected score (43 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (1,016 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (2,698 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (881 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 59.3% expected score (74 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (1,536 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (4,501 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.5% expected score (783 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 32.9% expected score (54 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (2,730 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.3% expected score (6,510 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 45.7% expected score (773 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 43.4% expected score (21 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (1,733 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 41.3% expected score (1,906 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 47.0% expected score (129 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 44.6% expected score (17 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Indian Defense
47.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov Variation
48.3%
Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Traditional Variation, Nimzowitsch Line
49.8%
Queen's Indian Defense: Spassky System
48.5%
Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Traditional Variation
50.0%
Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Traditional Line
52.6%
Analyze Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Main Line PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Main Line win rate?

The Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Main Line has a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.2%-48.1%) win rate for white, based on 33K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Main Line perform best?

The Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Main Line performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 54.4% win rate for white (404 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Main Line better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (48.2%) outperforms Classical (44.4%) by 3.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Main Line?

The Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Main Line has a sharpness score of 92.9 (decisive), meaning 92.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Main Line win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Main Line has a 54.4% (90% CI: 50.3%-58.4%) win rate for white, based on 404 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Main Line win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Main Line has a 46.5% (90% CI: 44.2%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Main Line win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Main Line has a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.1%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 2.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Main Line win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Main Line has a 47.2% (90% CI: 45.8%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 3.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Main Line win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Main Line has a 46.7% (90% CI: 45.5%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 4.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Main Line win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Main Line has a 46.8% (90% CI: 45.8%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 6.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Main Line win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Main Line has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.1%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 7.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Main Line win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Main Line has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.3%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 3.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 47 moves with a 14.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Main Line win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Main Line has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.3%-49.0%) win rate for white (8.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Main Line win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Main Line has a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.2%-48.3%) win rate for white (20K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.5%.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Main Line win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Main Line has a 46.5% (90% CI: 45.2%-47.8%) win rate for white (4.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.5%.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Main Line win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Main Line has a 44.4% (90% CI: 39.1%-49.8%) win rate for white (227 Lichess games). Draw rate is 14.2%.

Is the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Main Line a good opening?

The Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Main Line is statistically balanced with a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.2%-48.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.