9.5K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Classical Variation has a 47.0% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 46.1% and 47.8%), based on 9.5K Lichess games.
Declines with rating: 61% → 39%
Best in Bullet (47%), worst in Rapid (39%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | — | — | |||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Classical Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 48.9%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 9.5K rated games from Lichess.
The Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Classical Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 52.6% win rate for white (1.3K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Rapid (53.5%) outperforms Classical (45.1%) by 8.4%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Classical Variation has a sharpness score of 93.4 (decisive), meaning 93.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 39 moves.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Classical Variation has a 46.8% (90% CI: 39.8%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 132 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Classical Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 43.2%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 322 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Classical Variation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 47.6%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 529 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Classical Variation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 45.1%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Classical Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 46.8%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.9% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Classical Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 48.8%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 3.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Classical Variation has a 52.6% (90% CI: 50.3%-54.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 7.9% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Classical Variation has a 48.2% (90% CI: 46.6%-49.8%) win rate for white (2.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.
In Blitz games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Classical Variation has a 49.9% (90% CI: 48.8%-50.9%) win rate for white (6.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.4%.
In Rapid games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Classical Variation has a 53.5% (90% CI: 50.7%-56.3%) win rate for white (878 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.1%.
The Queen's Indian Defense: Kasparov-Petrosian Variation, Classical Variation is statistically favors white with a 49.7% (90% CI: 48.9%-50.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.