Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Tiviakov Defense

3.6K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score47.8%Range (90% confident): 46.5% – 49.2%Based on 3.6K games
0%47.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.5% – 49.2%
Outcome Distribution
44.8%6.0%49.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
7...Na6
Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Tiviakov Defense
Analyzen=3.6K
Avg Length39 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.0%

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Tiviakov Defense expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Tiviakov Defense has a 47.8% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 46.5% and 49.2%), based on 3.6K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 46% → 41%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 45.5% win rate (4 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.1% win rate (12 games)
  • 1200-1399: 41.5% win rate (31 games)
  • 1400-1599: 43.3% win rate (92 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.8% win rate (181 games)
  • 1800-1999: 43.7% win rate (421 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.3% win rate (911 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.9% win rate (1,375 games)
  • 2500+: 41.1% win rate (576 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (48%), worst in UltraBullet (20%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 46.4% win rate (1,181 games)
  • Blitz: 43.6% win rate (2,144 games)
  • Rapid: 48.2% win rate (263 games)
  • Classical: 41.9% win rate (14 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 64.3% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 38.6% expected score (16 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (13 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (33 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 34.6% expected score (47 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (40 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (106 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 58.5% expected score (34 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 56.4% expected score (93 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 43.0% expected score (269 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.4% expected score (54 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 65.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (214 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.1% expected score (603 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.5% expected score (87 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (365 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.2% expected score (941 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 42.2% expected score (69 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 42.3% expected score (410 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (161 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 73.1% expected score (5 games)

Related Openings

Analyze Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Tiviakov Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Tiviakov Defense win rate?

The Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Tiviakov Defense has a 49.2% (90% CI: 47.8%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 3.6K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Tiviakov Defense perform best?

The Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Tiviakov Defense performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 56.1% win rate for white (92 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Tiviakov Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (49.7%) outperforms Rapid (46.7%) by 3.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Tiviakov Defense?

The Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Tiviakov Defense has a sharpness score of 94.0 (decisive), meaning 94.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 39 moves.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Tiviakov Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Tiviakov Defense has a 45.8% (90% CI: 39.7%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 181 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Tiviakov Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Tiviakov Defense has a 50.3% (90% CI: 46.3%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 421 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Tiviakov Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Tiviakov Defense has a 49.4% (90% CI: 46.6%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 911 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Tiviakov Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Tiviakov Defense has a 47.9% (90% CI: 45.7%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Tiviakov Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Tiviakov Defense has a 51.0% (90% CI: 47.6%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 576 Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 7.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Tiviakov Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Tiviakov Defense has a 48.8% (90% CI: 46.4%-51.2%) win rate for white (1.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Tiviakov Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Tiviakov Defense has a 49.7% (90% CI: 47.9%-51.5%) win rate for white (2.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.7%.

What is the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Tiviakov Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Tiviakov Defense has a 46.7% (90% CI: 41.7%-51.7%) win rate for white (263 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

Is the Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Tiviakov Defense a good opening?

The Queen's Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Tiviakov Defense is statistically balanced with a 49.2% (90% CI: 47.8%-50.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.