24K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Check Variation, Intermezzo Line has a 48.4% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 47.9% and 48.9%), based on 24K Lichess games.
Improves with rating: 8% → 17%
Best in Blitz (41%), worst in Bullet (26%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1000-1199 | — | — | — | ||
| 1200-1399 | — | — | |||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Check Variation, Intermezzo Line has a 39.7% (90% CI: 39.2%-40.2%) win rate for white, based on 24K rated games from Lichess.
The Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Check Variation, Intermezzo Line performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 44.1% win rate for white (9.3K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Blitz (41.4%) outperforms Classical (39.1%) by 2.3%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Check Variation, Intermezzo Line has a sharpness score of 76.2 (drawish), meaning 76.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 49 moves.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Check Variation, Intermezzo Line has a 41.8% (90% CI: 37.1%-46.6%) win rate for white, based on 289 Lichess games. Average game length is 49 moves with a 12.9% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Check Variation, Intermezzo Line has a 41.5% (90% CI: 39.3%-43.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 10.8% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Check Variation, Intermezzo Line has a 42.1% (90% CI: 40.9%-43.4%) win rate for white, based on 4.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 10.0% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Check Variation, Intermezzo Line has a 44.1% (90% CI: 43.3%-45.0%) win rate for white, based on 9.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 9.8% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Check Variation, Intermezzo Line has a 33.0% (90% CI: 32.2%-33.9%) win rate for white, based on 8.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 62 moves with a 49.9% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Check Variation, Intermezzo Line has a 36.0% (90% CI: 35.0%-37.1%) win rate for white (5.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 37.7%.
In Blitz games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Check Variation, Intermezzo Line has a 41.4% (90% CI: 40.7%-42.0%) win rate for white (16K Lichess games). Draw rate is 18.0%.
In Rapid games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Check Variation, Intermezzo Line has a 37.0% (90% CI: 35.4%-38.6%) win rate for white (2.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 30.4%.
In Classical games, the Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Check Variation, Intermezzo Line has a 39.1% (90% CI: 34.1%-44.2%) win rate for white (248 Lichess games). Draw rate is 31.9%.
The Queen's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Check Variation, Intermezzo Line is statistically balanced with a 39.7% (90% CI: 39.2%-40.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.