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French Defense: Tarrasch Variation

714K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score54.4%Range (90% confident): 54.3% – 54.5%Based on 714K games
0%54.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 54.3% – 54.5%
Outcome Distribution
52.0%4.7%43.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.Nd2
French Defense: Tarrasch Variation
Analyzen=714K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.7%

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation has a 54.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.3% and 54.5%), based on 714K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~52%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 51.9% win rate (2,485 games)
  • 1000-1199: 52.7% win rate (6,469 games)
  • 1200-1399: 53.7% win rate (16,992 games)
  • 1400-1599: 53.5% win rate (48,586 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.2% win rate (114,923 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.6% win rate (205,585 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.9% win rate (192,022 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.9% win rate (105,902 games)
  • 2500+: 51.3% win rate (20,899 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (54%), worst in UltraBullet (51%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 51.0% win rate (480 games)
  • Bullet: 52.1% win rate (306,453 games)
  • Blitz: 51.7% win rate (342,634 games)
  • Rapid: 53.5% win rate (61,476 games)
  • Classical: 54.2% win rate (2,820 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 8.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (878 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (1,121 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 56.5% expected score (476 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (3,282 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 54.2% expected score (2,388 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 58.1% expected score (768 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 47.8% expected score (21 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 55.5% expected score (35 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (8,412 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 55.6% expected score (6,780 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 61.0% expected score (1,705 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 59.8% expected score (60 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.5% expected score (112 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (21,752 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (21,914 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 57.8% expected score (4,546 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 60.7% expected score (262 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.8% expected score (131 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.7% expected score (42,864 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (60,140 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 56.6% expected score (11,039 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 58.9% expected score (749 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 59.7% expected score (107 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (65,604 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (117,598 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 55.5% expected score (21,098 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 57.9% expected score (1,178 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 63.6% expected score (39 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.2% expected score (76,914 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.5% expected score (97,240 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 56.4% expected score (17,364 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 58.4% expected score (465 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 36.1% expected score (38 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (68,671 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.6% expected score (32,708 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 59.6% expected score (4,404 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 61.5% expected score (81 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.7% expected score (18,076 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.1% expected score (2,745 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 66.2% expected score (76 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation
46.1%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap
48.6%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Frenkel Gambit
46.5%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation
48.8%
Continuations (10)
French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Botvinnik Variation
49.5%
French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense
47.2%
French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense, Modern Line
47.5%
French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Closed Variation
51.5%
French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Closed Variation, Main Line
50.0%
French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Eliskases Variation
50.8%
French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense
48.8%
French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line
46.8%
French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Thunderbunny Variation
51.9%
French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Haberditz Variation
45.8%
Analyze French Defense: Tarrasch Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation win rate?

The French Defense: Tarrasch Variation has a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.9%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 714K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation perform best?

The French Defense: Tarrasch Variation performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 53.5% win rate for white (49K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (53.5%) outperforms UltraBullet (51.0%) by 2.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation?

The French Defense: Tarrasch Variation has a sharpness score of 95.3 (very decisive), meaning 95.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation has a 51.9% (90% CI: 50.3%-53.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation has a 52.7% (90% CI: 51.7%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 6.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation has a 53.7% (90% CI: 53.1%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation has a 53.5% (90% CI: 53.2%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 49K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation has a 52.2% (90% CI: 52.0%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 115K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.4%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 206K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.7%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 192K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.7%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 106K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 50.7%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 7.1% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 47.2%-54.7%) win rate for white (480 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.2%.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation has a 52.1% (90% CI: 52.0%-52.3%) win rate for white (306K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation has a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.5%-51.8%) win rate for white (343K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation has a 53.5% (90% CI: 53.2%-53.9%) win rate for white (61K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.2%.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation has a 54.2% (90% CI: 52.7%-55.7%) win rate for white (2.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.7%.

Is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation a good opening?

The French Defense: Tarrasch Variation is statistically favors white with a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.9%-52.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.