French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation
1.1M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds
51.8%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 51.9%.
Measured over 1.1M games at this level and clock.
Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.
Outcomes for Black
Draw 4.2 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 1.1M games
- Rank among the families Black can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 1.1M
- Best context
- 58.3% at 1600-1799 Classical
- Worst context
- 44.4% at 2500+ Rapid
- Average game length
- 35 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 95.8%
- Draws
- 4.2%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 56.1% at 0-999, 46.8% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 56.2% expected score (3,355 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 55.2% expected score (2,310 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 57.7% expected score (448 games)
- 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 62.0% expected score (11 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (11,212 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 54.0% expected score (12,819 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 54.4% expected score (2,718 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (18 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 53.2% expected score (30 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 54.3% expected score (22,796 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 54.9% expected score (38,433 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 54.5% expected score (9,833 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 55.4% expected score (174 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 54.3% expected score (57 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (34,695 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 54.5% expected score (78,332 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 55.7% expected score (25,276 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 56.7% expected score (1,074 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 56.4% expected score (30 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (46,769 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (127,883 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 55.6% expected score (43,720 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 58.3% expected score (2,578 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 27.8% expected score (12 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (51,903 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (169,486 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (48,188 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 52.2% expected score (2,943 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 56.8% expected score (28 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (47,444 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (152,114 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.6% expected score (29,045 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 48.6% expected score (964 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 79.5% expected score (7 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.9% expected score (48,032 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (84,735 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 46.0% expected score (9,220 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (142 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 45.2% expected score (16,811 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 46.3% expected score (12,370 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 44.4% expected score (532 games)
- 2500+ rating, Classical: 51.4% expected score (69 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation scores 51.8% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 51.7% and 51.9% — from 1.1M Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 1.1M+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation win rate?
Playing the French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation, Black wins 49.7%, draws 4.2% and loses 46.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.8%. It rests on 1.1M rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation perform best?
The French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation performs best for Black at 0-999, with an Expected Score of 55.9% (6.1K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation better in blitz or rapid?
For Black, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation scores higher in Rapid: an Expected Score of 51.8% in Blitz (678K games) against 53.5% in Rapid (169K games).
How sharp is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation?
The French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation has a sharpness score of 95.8 (very decisive), meaning 95.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.
What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation win rate at 0-999?
At 0-999, Black wins 54.8%, draws 2.1% and loses 43.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.9%. It rests on 6.1K Lichess games, which average 26 moves.
What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, Black wins 53.0%, draws 2.5% and loses 44.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.3%. It rests on 27K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.
What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, Black wins 53.1%, draws 3.0% and loses 43.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.6%. It rests on 71K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.
What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, Black wins 52.8%, draws 3.3% and loses 43.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.5%. It rests on 139K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.
What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, Black wins 51.9%, draws 3.8% and loses 44.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.8%. It rests on 221K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.
What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, Black wins 50.0%, draws 4.2% and loses 45.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.1%. It rests on 273K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.
What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, Black wins 47.5%, draws 4.7% and loses 47.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.9%. It rests on 230K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.
What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, Black wins 45.0%, draws 5.4% and loses 49.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.7%. It rests on 142K Lichess games, which average 38 moves.
What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation win rate at 2500+?
At 2500+, Black wins 41.4%, draws 8.5% and loses 50.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.7%. It rests on 30K Lichess games, which average 42 moves.
What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation win rate in UltraBullet?
In UltraBullet, Black wins 54.9%, draws 0.3% and loses 44.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.1%. It rests on 178 Lichess games.
What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, Black wins 49.2%, draws 2.8% and loses 48.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.6%. It rests on 283K Lichess games.
What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, Black wins 49.5%, draws 4.5% and loses 45.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.8%. It rests on 678K Lichess games.
What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, Black wins 50.9%, draws 5.3% and loses 43.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.5%. It rests on 169K Lichess games.
What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation win rate in Classical?
In Classical, Black wins 50.7%, draws 6.9% and loses 42.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.2%. It rests on 8.0K Lichess games.
Is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation a good opening?
The French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation is about level. Across all ratings, Black wins 49.7% of its games and loses 46.1%. It performs best at 0-999. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.