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French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line

63K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score50.3%Range (90% confident): 50.0% – 50.6%Based on 63K games
0%50.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.0% – 50.6%
Outcome Distribution
47.3%5.9%46.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...Nf6
French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line
Analyzen=63K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate5.9%

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line has a 50.3% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 50.0% and 50.6%), based on 63K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 50% → 43%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.2% win rate (328 games)
  • 1000-1199: 44.9% win rate (438 games)
  • 1200-1399: 42.4% win rate (669 games)
  • 1400-1599: 41.2% win rate (1,210 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.5% win rate (2,332 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.6% win rate (6,435 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.8% win rate (16,283 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.6% win rate (28,411 games)
  • 2500+: 42.6% win rate (7,271 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (65%), worst in Classical (41%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 65.2% win rate (10 games)
  • Bullet: 48.8% win rate (15,034 games)
  • Blitz: 47.2% win rate (43,210 games)
  • Rapid: 43.9% win rate (4,850 games)
  • Classical: 40.6% win rate (273 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 43.8% expected score (70 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 54.6% expected score (165 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 52.2% expected score (93 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 43.4% expected score (127 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.7% expected score (216 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 43.1% expected score (92 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 40.4% expected score (186 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 44.9% expected score (342 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 44.8% expected score (133 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 39.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 42.3% expected score (264 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 43.6% expected score (647 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 41.4% expected score (271 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 34.3% expected score (24 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (525 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.3% expected score (1,365 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 41.6% expected score (391 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 47.0% expected score (48 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (1,200 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (4,261 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.2% expected score (888 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 45.3% expected score (83 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (2,849 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (11,886 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.1% expected score (1,472 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.7% expected score (76 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (5,984 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (20,966 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (1,430 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 36.2% expected score (31 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (3,829 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 44.5% expected score (3,362 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 37.2% expected score (80 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Knight Variation
48.3%
French Defense: Exchange Variation
47.7%
French Defense: Normal Variation
50.3%
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Queen's Knight
48.5%
Analyze French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line win rate?

The French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line has a 46.8% (90% CI: 46.5%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 63K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line perform best?

The French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 55.8% win rate for white (1.2K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (49.5%) outperforms Classical (50.8%) by -1.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line?

The French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line has a sharpness score of 94.1 (decisive), meaning 94.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line has a 47.2% (90% CI: 42.7%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 328 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line has a 52.9% (90% CI: 49.0%-56.8%) win rate for white, based on 438 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line has a 55.4% (90% CI: 52.2%-58.6%) win rate for white, based on 669 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line has a 55.8% (90% CI: 53.4%-58.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line has a 51.1% (90% CI: 49.4%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line has a 46.1% (90% CI: 45.1%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 6.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line has a 44.0% (90% CI: 43.4%-44.7%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.4%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 28K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.6% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line has a 49.4% (90% CI: 48.4%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 7.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 8.1% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.2%-47.6%) win rate for white (15K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line has a 46.5% (90% CI: 46.1%-46.9%) win rate for white (43K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.3%.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line has a 49.5% (90% CI: 48.3%-50.6%) win rate for white (4.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.7%.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line has a 50.8% (90% CI: 45.9%-55.8%) win rate for white (273 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.6%.

Is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line a good opening?

The French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line is statistically balanced with a 46.8% (90% CI: 46.5%-47.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.