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French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense

91K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score48.7%Range (90% confident): 48.4% – 48.9%Based on 91K games
0%48.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.4% – 48.9%
Outcome Distribution
46.1%5.1%48.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...Nc6
French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense
Analyzen=91K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.1%

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense has a 48.7% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 48.4% and 48.9%), based on 91K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 47% → 45%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.3% win rate (862 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.1% win rate (1,518 games)
  • 1200-1399: 44.5% win rate (2,764 games)
  • 1400-1599: 43.2% win rate (5,854 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.9% win rate (10,399 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.4% win rate (18,941 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.4% win rate (26,849 games)
  • 2200-2499: 45.9% win rate (20,725 games)
  • 2500+: 45.0% win rate (3,105 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (48%), worst in Classical (39%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 39.4% win rate (15 games)
  • Bullet: 47.9% win rate (24,855 games)
  • Blitz: 46.1% win rate (54,355 games)
  • Rapid: 42.1% win rate (11,206 games)
  • Classical: 38.9% win rate (586 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (213 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.7% expected score (446 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (202 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.0% expected score (514 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (716 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 47.7% expected score (281 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 45.7% expected score (817 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.2% expected score (1,380 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 42.9% expected score (539 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (26 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (1,428 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 44.3% expected score (3,131 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 42.6% expected score (1,207 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 38.2% expected score (83 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (2,262 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.6% expected score (6,025 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 45.3% expected score (1,938 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 42.5% expected score (171 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (3,977 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (11,793 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 44.4% expected score (2,958 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 42.9% expected score (210 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (6,032 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (17,940 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 45.7% expected score (2,807 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 43.1% expected score (70 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (7,130 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.7% expected score (12,307 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 44.8% expected score (1,268 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 34.7% expected score (18 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (2,482 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 42.3% expected score (617 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 16.7% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Knight Variation
48.3%
French Defense: Exchange Variation
47.7%
French Defense: Normal Variation
50.3%
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Queen's Knight
48.5%
Continuations (2)
French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Main Line
46.8%
French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense, Thunderbunny Variation
51.9%
Analyze French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense win rate?

The French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 91K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense perform best?

The French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 53.5% win rate for white (5.9K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (52.5%) outperforms Bullet (48.2%) by 4.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense?

The French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense has a sharpness score of 94.9 (decisive), meaning 94.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense has a 49.9% (90% CI: 47.1%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 862 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense has a 50.1% (90% CI: 48.0%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense has a 52.8% (90% CI: 51.2%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense has a 53.5% (90% CI: 52.4%-54.5%) win rate for white, based on 5.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.0%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.4%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 19K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.4%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 27K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense has a 47.3% (90% CI: 46.7%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.1%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 3.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.7%-48.7%) win rate for white (25K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense has a 48.3% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.7%) win rate for white (54K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.6%.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense has a 52.5% (90% CI: 51.7%-53.2%) win rate for white (11K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense has a 54.6% (90% CI: 51.2%-57.9%) win rate for white (586 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.6%.

Is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense a good opening?

The French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Guimard Defense is statistically balanced with a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.