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Analyzer

French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation

73K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score48.8%Range (90% confident): 48.5% – 49.1%Based on 73K games
0%48.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.5% – 49.1%
Outcome Distribution
46.4%4.8%48.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...Nh6
French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation
Analyzen=73K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.8%

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation has a 48.8% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 48.5% and 49.1%), based on 73K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 59% → 42%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 58.7% win rate (221 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.7% win rate (971 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.1% win rate (2,603 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.5% win rate (5,928 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.4% win rate (11,540 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.9% win rate (16,852 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.2% win rate (17,009 games)
  • 2200-2499: 45.1% win rate (14,646 games)
  • 2500+: 41.9% win rate (3,556 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (60%), worst in Classical (42%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 46.4% win rate (15,614 games)
  • Blitz: 46.6% win rate (45,211 games)
  • Rapid: 46.0% win rate (11,818 games)
  • Classical: 41.8% win rate (682 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 64.1% expected score (109 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 57.2% expected score (96 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (16 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (331 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (528 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 43.3% expected score (110 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (680 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (1,501 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (415 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (1,368 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (3,465 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.5% expected score (1,047 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 63.1% expected score (48 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (1,668 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (7,334 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (2,377 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 43.3% expected score (161 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 45.6% expected score (1,943 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (10,924 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (3,733 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 47.5% expected score (252 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (2,957 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (10,989 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (2,907 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 44.6% expected score (155 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.5% expected score (4,444 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (9,005 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (1,150 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 44.9% expected score (47 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 46.1% expected score (2,114 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 46.6% expected score (1,369 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (63 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (10 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Knight Variation
48.3%
French Defense: Exchange Variation
47.7%
French Defense: Normal Variation
50.3%
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Queen's Knight
48.5%
Analyze French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation win rate?

The French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 73K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation perform best?

The French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 49.5% win rate for white (17K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (50.2%) outperforms Classical (48.2%) by 2.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation?

The French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation has a sharpness score of 95.2 (very decisive), meaning 95.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation has a 38.4% (90% CI: 33.1%-43.8%) win rate for white, based on 221 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 45.2%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 971 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation has a 46.2% (90% CI: 44.6%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 46.5%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 5.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.4%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 48.9%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.2%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.1%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 47.9%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 3.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 8.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.9%) win rate for white (16K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.1%-48.8%) win rate for white (45K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 47.7%-49.2%) win rate for white (12K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.6%.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation has a 48.2% (90% CI: 45.1%-51.4%) win rate for white (682 Lichess games). Draw rate is 10.0%.

Is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation a good opening?

The French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation is statistically balanced with a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.