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French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense, Modern Line

7.8K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score48.6%Range (90% confident): 47.6% – 49.5%Based on 7.8K games
0%48.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.6% – 49.5%
Outcome Distribution
44.6%8.0%47.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
10...a6
French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense, Modern Line
Analyzen=7.8K
Avg Length39 moves
Sharpness92%
Draw Rate8.0%

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense, Modern Line expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense, Modern Line has a 48.6% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 47.6% and 49.5%), based on 7.8K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 60% → 42%

1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1000-1199: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1200-1399: 42.9% win rate (2 games)
  • 1400-1599: 79.3% win rate (13 games)
  • 1600-1799: 57.3% win rate (50 games)
  • 1800-1999: 53.6% win rate (369 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.7% win rate (1,784 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.2% win rate (3,887 games)
  • 2500+: 41.6% win rate (1,732 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (48%), worst in Rapid (42%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 48.2% win rate (2,500 games)
  • Blitz: 42.9% win rate (4,748 games)
  • Rapid: 42.3% win rate (551 games)
  • Classical: 48.1% win rate (39 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199————
1200-1399———
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 76.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 55.9% expected score (24 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 62.8% expected score (22 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 68.3% expected score (75 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (258 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 61.6% expected score (33 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (278 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (1,358 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.3% expected score (129 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 72.0% expected score (19 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (956 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 46.0% expected score (2,568 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (350 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 36.2% expected score (13 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (1,160 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 45.6% expected score (536 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 31.2% expected score (33 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Knight Variation
48.3%
French Defense: Exchange Variation
47.7%
French Defense: Normal Variation
50.3%
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Queen's Knight
48.5%
Analyze French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense, Modern Line PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense, Modern Line win rate?

The French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense, Modern Line has a 47.5% (90% CI: 46.6%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 7.8K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense, Modern Line perform best?

The French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense, Modern Line performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 49.2% win rate for white (1.7K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense, Modern Line better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (48.4%) outperforms Rapid (46.1%) by 2.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense, Modern Line?

The French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense, Modern Line has a sharpness score of 92.0 (decisive), meaning 92.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 39 moves.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense, Modern Line win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense, Modern Line has a 38.7% (90% CI: 34.6%-42.9%) win rate for white, based on 369 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 7.7% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense, Modern Line win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense, Modern Line has a 46.7% (90% CI: 44.7%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 7.6% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense, Modern Line win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense, Modern Line has a 48.2% (90% CI: 46.8%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 3.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 7.7% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense, Modern Line win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense, Modern Line has a 49.2% (90% CI: 47.3%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 9.1% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense, Modern Line win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense, Modern Line has a 46.2% (90% CI: 44.6%-47.9%) win rate for white (2.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense, Modern Line win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense, Modern Line has a 48.4% (90% CI: 47.2%-49.6%) win rate for white (4.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.7%.

What is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense, Modern Line win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense, Modern Line has a 46.1% (90% CI: 42.6%-49.6%) win rate for white (551 Lichess games). Draw rate is 11.7%.

Is the French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense, Modern Line a good opening?

The French Defense: Tarrasch Variation, Chistyakov Defense, Modern Line is statistically balanced with a 47.5% (90% CI: 46.6%-48.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.