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French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap

172K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score50.6%Range (90% confident): 50.4% – 50.8%Based on 172K games
0%50.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.4% – 50.8%
Outcome Distribution
48.6%3.9%47.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...Bd7
French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap
Analyzen=172K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.9%

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap has a 50.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.4% and 50.8%), based on 172K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 51% → 47%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.9% win rate (6,876 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.3% win rate (15,299 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.6% win rate (24,756 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.5% win rate (36,694 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.2% win rate (35,250 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.7% win rate (27,919 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.4% win rate (14,728 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.6% win rate (8,463 games)
  • 2500+: 46.9% win rate (2,019 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (54%), worst in Classical (46%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 53.8% win rate (602 games)
  • Bullet: 50.0% win rate (30,621 games)
  • Blitz: 48.6% win rate (96,277 games)
  • Rapid: 47.7% win rate (42,501 games)
  • Classical: 46.4% win rate (2,003 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 42.6% expected score (12 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (1,989 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (3,946 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 56.1% expected score (926 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 45.1% expected score (29 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (3,154 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (9,451 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 55.2% expected score (2,635 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 45.3% expected score (30 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 45.5% expected score (75 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (4,721 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (13,686 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.0% expected score (6,099 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 60.2% expected score (175 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 53.1% expected score (279 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (5,882 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (20,131 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.5% expected score (10,003 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 48.1% expected score (399 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 59.1% expected score (136 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (5,144 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (18,923 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (10,353 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 44.4% expected score (694 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 63.7% expected score (46 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (3,654 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.8% expected score (15,383 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (8,269 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.6% expected score (567 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 67.1% expected score (19 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (2,500 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (8,625 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (3,475 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 58.2% expected score (109 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (2,489 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (5,238 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 57.3% expected score (710 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 77.9% expected score (20 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (1,088 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (894 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 47.0% expected score (31 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 56.7% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation
46.1%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Frenkel Gambit
46.5%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation
48.8%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Main Line
50.4%
Analyze French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap win rate?

The French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.4%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 172K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap perform best?

The French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 51.3% win rate for white (15K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (53.8%) outperforms Classical (46.4%) by 7.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap?

The French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap has a 50.9% (90% CI: 49.9%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 6.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap has a 51.3% (90% CI: 50.7%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap has a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.1%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 25K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.1%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 37K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap has a 47.2% (90% CI: 46.8%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 35K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap has a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.2%-48.2%) win rate for white, based on 28K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap has a 48.4% (90% CI: 47.8%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.7%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 8.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap has a 46.9% (90% CI: 45.1%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 8.6% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap has a 53.8% (90% CI: 50.4%-57.1%) win rate for white (602 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.1%.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.4%) win rate for white (31K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.5%.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.3%-48.9%) win rate for white (96K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap has a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.3%-48.1%) win rate for white (43K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap has a 46.4% (90% CI: 44.5%-48.2%) win rate for white (2.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.1%.

Is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap a good opening?

The French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap is statistically balanced with a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.4%-48.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.