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French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap

172K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score49.5%Range (90% confident): 49.3% – 49.7%Based on 172K games
0%49.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.3% – 49.7%
Outcome Distribution
47.5%3.9%48.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...Bd7
French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap
Analyzen=172K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.9%

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap has a 49.5% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 49.3% and 49.7%), based on 172K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~46%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.4% win rate (6,876 games)
  • 1000-1199: 45.8% win rate (15,299 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.3% win rate (24,756 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.2% win rate (36,694 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.7% win rate (35,250 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.9% win rate (27,919 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.6% win rate (14,728 games)
  • 2200-2499: 45.2% win rate (8,463 games)
  • 2500+: 44.5% win rate (2,019 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~48%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 45.2% win rate (602 games)
  • Bullet: 47.5% win rate (30,621 games)
  • Blitz: 47.4% win rate (96,277 games)
  • Rapid: 47.7% win rate (42,501 games)
  • Classical: 47.5% win rate (2,003 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 57.5% expected score (12 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (1,989 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 47.1% expected score (3,946 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 44.0% expected score (926 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 54.9% expected score (29 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 46.8% expected score (3,154 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (9,451 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 44.8% expected score (2,635 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 54.8% expected score (30 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 54.6% expected score (75 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (4,721 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (13,686 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 49.0% expected score (6,099 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 39.8% expected score (175 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 47.0% expected score (279 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (5,882 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.7% expected score (20,131 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.6% expected score (10,003 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 51.9% expected score (399 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 40.9% expected score (136 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (5,144 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (18,923 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (10,353 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 55.7% expected score (694 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 36.3% expected score (46 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (3,654 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (15,383 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (8,269 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 49.5% expected score (567 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 32.9% expected score (19 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2,500 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.1% expected score (8,625 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (3,475 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 41.9% expected score (109 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (2,489 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (5,238 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 42.7% expected score (710 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 22.1% expected score (20 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (1,088 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 48.7% expected score (894 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (31 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 43.4% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Knight Variation
48.3%
French Defense: Exchange Variation
47.7%
French Defense: Normal Variation
50.3%
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Queen's Knight
48.5%
Analyze French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap win rate?

The French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.4%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 172K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap perform best?

The French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 51.3% win rate for white (15K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (53.8%) outperforms Classical (46.4%) by 7.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap?

The French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap has a 50.9% (90% CI: 49.9%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 6.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap has a 51.3% (90% CI: 50.7%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap has a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.1%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 25K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.1%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 37K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap has a 47.2% (90% CI: 46.8%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 35K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap has a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.2%-48.2%) win rate for white, based on 28K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap has a 48.4% (90% CI: 47.8%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.7%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 8.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap has a 46.9% (90% CI: 45.1%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 8.6% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap has a 53.8% (90% CI: 50.4%-57.1%) win rate for white (602 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.1%.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.4%) win rate for white (31K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.5%.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.3%-48.9%) win rate for white (96K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap has a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.3%-48.1%) win rate for white (43K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

What is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap has a 46.4% (90% CI: 44.5%-48.2%) win rate for white (2.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.1%.

Is the French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap a good opening?

The French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap is statistically balanced with a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.4%-48.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.