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Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack

2.4M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.2%Range (90% confident): 53.1% – 53.2%Based on 2.4M games
0%53.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.1% – 53.2%
Outcome Distribution
50.9%4.5%44.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...e6
Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack
Analyzen=2.4M
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.5%

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack has a 53.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.1% and 53.2%), based on 2.4M Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 49% → 53%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.0% win rate (17,074 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.3% win rate (48,267 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.3% win rate (116,305 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.2% win rate (261,798 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.1% win rate (478,966 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.5% win rate (666,739 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.4% win rate (496,527 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.5% win rate (266,392 games)
  • 2500+: 53.3% win rate (43,431 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (52%), worst in UltraBullet (48%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 48.0% win rate (4,878 games)
  • Bullet: 50.8% win rate (1,080,178 games)
  • Blitz: 50.9% win rate (1,075,522 games)
  • Rapid: 51.5% win rate (224,895 games)
  • Classical: 50.4% win rate (10,026 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 33.1% expected score (28 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (6,967 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (7,530 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (2,535 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 53.3% expected score (14 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 43.9% expected score (112 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (22,113 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (19,608 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 54.2% expected score (6,344 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 46.2% expected score (90 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 41.6% expected score (331 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (52,259 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (49,177 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.6% expected score (14,132 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.7% expected score (406 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 47.8% expected score (1,079 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (109,235 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (120,358 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 54.3% expected score (29,669 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 54.7% expected score (1,457 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 48.4% expected score (1,386 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (182,508 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (239,863 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 54.2% expected score (52,161 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 53.3% expected score (3,048 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 51.8% expected score (855 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (259,042 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (335,708 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.5% expected score (67,476 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 53.9% expected score (3,658 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 53.5% expected score (670 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (230,262 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (221,265 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.9% expected score (43,107 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 59.8% expected score (1,223 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 52.3% expected score (412 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (179,240 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.9% expected score (77,319 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 58.0% expected score (9,291 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 63.7% expected score (130 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.3% expected score (38,552 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 59.3% expected score (4,694 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 66.8% expected score (180 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Caro-Kann Defense
47.6%
Variations (5)
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack
51.4%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Modern Variation
50.0%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation
48.9%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian
86.7%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack
45.6%
Continuations (9)
Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Fianchetto Defense
46.1%
Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Fianchetto Defense, Fianchetto Gambit
46.9%
Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Gunderam Attack
48.2%
Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Main Line
49.9%
Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Modern Defense
49.5%
Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Modern Defense, Carlsbad Line
50.7%
Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Modern Defense, Czerniak Line
42.9%
Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Modern Defense, Mieses Line
49.9%
Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Modern Defense, Reifir-Spielmann Line
43.1%
Analyze Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack win rate?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.8%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.4M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack perform best?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 53.3% win rate for white (43K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (51.5%) outperforms UltraBullet (48.0%) by 3.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack has a sharpness score of 95.5 (very decisive), meaning 95.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.4%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack has a 51.3% (90% CI: 51.0%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 48K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack has a 51.3% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 116K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack has a 51.2% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 262K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack has a 51.1% (90% CI: 51.0%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 479K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack has a 50.5% (90% CI: 50.4%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 667K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack has a 50.4% (90% CI: 50.3%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 497K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack has a 51.5% (90% CI: 51.4%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 266K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack has a 53.3% (90% CI: 52.9%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 43K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 6.6% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack has a 48.0% (90% CI: 46.8%-49.1%) win rate for white (4.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.6%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.7%-50.9%) win rate for white (1.1M Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.0%) win rate for white (1.1M Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack has a 51.5% (90% CI: 51.3%-51.6%) win rate for white (225K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.1%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack has a 50.4% (90% CI: 49.6%-51.3%) win rate for white (10K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.1%.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack a good opening?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack is statistically favors white with a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.8%-50.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.