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Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack

10.0K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score47.2%Range (90% confident): 46.4% – 48.0%Based on 10.0K games
0%47.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.4% – 48.0%
Outcome Distribution
45.6%3.2%51.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.Qb3
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack
Analyzen=10.0K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.2%

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack has a 47.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 46.4% and 48.0%), based on 10.0K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 36% → 44%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 35.5% win rate (45 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.7% win rate (143 games)
  • 1200-1399: 45.7% win rate (673 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.1% win rate (1,225 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.3% win rate (2,498 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.8% win rate (2,401 games)
  • 2000-2199: 44.5% win rate (2,294 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.9% win rate (650 games)
  • 2500+: 43.7% win rate (50 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (48%), worst in UltraBullet (23%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 23.1% win rate (5 games)
  • Bullet: 48.0% win rate (4,284 games)
  • Blitz: 44.2% win rate (4,669 games)
  • Rapid: 41.5% win rate (961 games)
  • Classical: 46.3% win rate (60 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599—
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 37.8% expected score (19 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 38.6% expected score (16 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 41.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (60 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 45.7% expected score (67 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 44.6% expected score (310 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (297 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.3% expected score (59 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (423 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (697 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 37.6% expected score (91 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 43.6% expected score (14 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (1,113 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 45.0% expected score (1,128 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 41.4% expected score (235 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 52.2% expected score (21 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (701 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 46.6% expected score (1,355 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (333 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 62.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (1,195 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 43.2% expected score (937 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 36.9% expected score (155 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 38.3% expected score (7 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (422 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (163 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 43.0% expected score (63 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (41 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 45.3% expected score (9 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Caro-Kann Defense
47.6%
Variations (5)
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack
51.4%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Modern Variation
50.0%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation
48.9%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian
86.7%
Caro-Kann Defense: Advance Variation
49.2%
Analyze Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack win rate?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack has a 45.6% (90% CI: 44.7%-46.4%) win rate for white, based on 10.0K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack perform best?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 48.1% win rate for white (1.2K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (48.0%) outperforms Classical (46.3%) by 1.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack has a sharpness score of 96.8 (very decisive), meaning 96.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack has a 46.7% (90% CI: 39.9%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 143 Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack has a 45.7% (90% CI: 42.6%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 673 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack has a 48.1% (90% CI: 45.7%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack has a 45.3% (90% CI: 43.6%-46.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack has a 45.8% (90% CI: 44.1%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack has a 44.5% (90% CI: 42.8%-46.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack has a 44.9% (90% CI: 41.7%-48.1%) win rate for white, based on 650 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack has a 48.0% (90% CI: 46.7%-49.2%) win rate for white (4.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack has a 44.2% (90% CI: 43.0%-45.4%) win rate for white (4.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack has a 41.5% (90% CI: 38.9%-44.1%) win rate for white (961 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack a good opening?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack is slightly favors black with a 45.6% (90% CI: 44.7%-46.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.