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Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Gunderam Attack

86K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score50.2%Range (90% confident): 50.0% – 50.5%Based on 86K games
0%50.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.0% – 50.5%
Outcome Distribution
48.2%3.9%47.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.c5
Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Gunderam Attack
Analyzen=86K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.9%

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Gunderam Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Gunderam Attack has a 50.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.0% and 50.5%), based on 86K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 8.1% · Bullet best · Classical worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 46% → 50%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 45.6% win rate (557 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.7% win rate (1,535 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.3% win rate (3,455 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.8% win rate (8,986 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.6% win rate (18,989 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.9% win rate (26,754 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.1% win rate (18,297 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.6% win rate (6,946 games)
  • 2500+: 49.5% win rate (557 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (49%), worst in Classical (41%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 46.7% win rate (66 games)
  • Bullet: 48.6% win rate (33,033 games)
  • Blitz: 48.2% win rate (44,959 games)
  • Rapid: 47.5% win rate (7,749 games)
  • Classical: 40.5% win rate (269 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (195 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 46.1% expected score (282 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 45.6% expected score (78 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (478 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.7% expected score (795 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 47.1% expected score (256 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (1,309 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (1,661 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 46.5% expected score (471 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 54.4% expected score (10 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 47.2% expected score (16 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (3,772 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (4,302 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.9% expected score (860 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 54.0% expected score (36 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 54.5% expected score (21 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (6,465 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (10,696 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.6% expected score (1,720 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 44.9% expected score (87 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 54.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (8,169 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.2% expected score (15,876 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (2,611 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 34.8% expected score (87 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (7,119 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (9,640 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 46.6% expected score (1,489 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (42 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (5,038 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (1,641 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.2% expected score (261 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (488 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (66 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 72.3% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Caro-Kann Defense
47.6%
Variations (5)
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack
51.4%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Modern Variation
50.0%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation
48.9%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian
86.7%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack
45.6%
Analyze Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Gunderam Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Gunderam Attack win rate?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Gunderam Attack has a 48.2% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 86K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Gunderam Attack perform best?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Gunderam Attack performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 49.6% win rate for white (19K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Gunderam Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (48.6%) outperforms Classical (40.5%) by 8.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Gunderam Attack?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Gunderam Attack has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Gunderam Attack win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Gunderam Attack has a 45.6% (90% CI: 42.1%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 557 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Gunderam Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Gunderam Attack has a 48.7% (90% CI: 46.6%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Gunderam Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Gunderam Attack has a 49.3% (90% CI: 47.9%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 3.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Gunderam Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Gunderam Attack has a 48.8% (90% CI: 47.9%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 9.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Gunderam Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Gunderam Attack has a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.0%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 19K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Gunderam Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Gunderam Attack has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.4%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 27K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Gunderam Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Gunderam Attack has a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.5%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Gunderam Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Gunderam Attack has a 47.6% (90% CI: 46.7%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 6.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Gunderam Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Gunderam Attack has a 49.5% (90% CI: 46.0%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 557 Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Gunderam Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Gunderam Attack has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.1%-49.0%) win rate for white (33K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Gunderam Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Gunderam Attack has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.8%-48.6%) win rate for white (45K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Gunderam Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Gunderam Attack has a 47.5% (90% CI: 46.6%-48.4%) win rate for white (7.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Gunderam Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Gunderam Attack has a 40.5% (90% CI: 35.6%-45.4%) win rate for white (269 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.5%.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Gunderam Attack a good opening?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Panov Attack, Gunderam Attack is statistically balanced with a 48.2% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.