TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack

1.7M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Play This
White Expected Score53.5%Range (90% confident): 53.4% – 53.5%Based on 1.7M games
0%53.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.4% – 53.5%
Outcome Distribution
51.4%4.2%44.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
2...d5
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack
Analyzen=1.7M
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.2%

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack has a 53.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.4% and 53.5%), based on 1.7M Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 46% → 53%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.2% win rate (32,554 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.3% win rate (69,194 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.6% win rate (138,114 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.6% win rate (245,269 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.8% win rate (361,772 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.2% win rate (403,388 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.2% win rate (270,346 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.8% win rate (125,381 games)
  • 2500+: 52.9% win rate (18,180 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (52%), worst in UltraBullet (45%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 45.3% win rate (2,168 games)
  • Bullet: 51.7% win rate (623,973 games)
  • Blitz: 51.4% win rate (791,573 games)
  • Rapid: 50.8% win rate (237,076 games)
  • Classical: 48.5% win rate (9,408 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 25.6% expected score (21 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 47.4% expected score (8,645 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (16,435 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 47.2% expected score (7,388 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 31.2% expected score (65 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 40.9% expected score (59 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (20,603 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (33,713 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 51.4% expected score (14,536 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 42.8% expected score (283 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 49.0% expected score (189 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (43,724 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (66,727 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (26,663 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 48.2% expected score (811 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 42.3% expected score (386 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (75,558 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (124,145 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.0% expected score (43,263 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 49.5% expected score (1,917 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 46.7% expected score (823 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (111,023 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (188,001 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.8% expected score (58,817 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 52.4% expected score (3,108 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 47.3% expected score (471 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (140,259 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (204,253 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.8% expected score (55,864 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 53.1% expected score (2,541 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 52.3% expected score (151 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (124,650 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (119,032 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.6% expected score (25,893 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 56.3% expected score (620 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 53.7% expected score (67 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (83,149 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 56.2% expected score (37,533 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 59.7% expected score (4,578 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 69.9% expected score (54 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.5% expected score (16,362 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 62.0% expected score (1,734 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 57.3% expected score (74 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 69.1% expected score (9 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Caro-Kann Defense
47.6%
Variations (5)
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Modern Variation
50.0%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation
48.9%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian
86.7%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack
45.6%
Caro-Kann Defense: Advance Variation
49.2%
Continuations (4)
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Modern Variation
50.0%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation
48.9%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian
86.7%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack
45.6%
Analyze Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack win rate?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack has a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.3%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.7M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack perform best?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 52.9% win rate for white (18K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.7%) outperforms UltraBullet (45.3%) by 6.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack has a sharpness score of 95.8 (very decisive), meaning 95.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack has a 46.2% (90% CI: 45.7%-46.6%) win rate for white, based on 33K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack has a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 69K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.4%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 138K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.5%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 245K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack has a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.7%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 362K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack has a 51.2% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 403K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack has a 51.2% (90% CI: 51.0%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 270K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack has a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.6%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 125K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack has a 52.9% (90% CI: 52.3%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack has a 45.3% (90% CI: 43.5%-47.0%) win rate for white (2.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.2%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack has a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.6%-51.8%) win rate for white (624K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack has a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.3%-51.4%) win rate for white (792K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.0%) win rate for white (237K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack has a 48.5% (90% CI: 47.7%-49.4%) win rate for white (9.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.0%.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack a good opening?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack is statistically favors white with a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.3%-51.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.