Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian

442 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score12.0%Range (90% confident): 9.6% – 14.6%Based on 442 games
0%12.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 9.6% – 14.6%
Outcome Distribution
10.7%2.6%86.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...Qxd5
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian
Analyzen=442
Avg Length17 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.6%

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian has a 12.0% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 9.6% and 14.6%), based on 442 Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 18% → 14%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 18.1% win rate (40 games)
  • 1000-1199: 8.6% win rate (39 games)
  • 1200-1399: 6.8% win rate (35 games)
  • 1400-1599: 8.8% win rate (61 games)
  • 1600-1799: 10.2% win rate (72 games)
  • 1800-1999: 6.7% win rate (95 games)
  • 2000-2199: 17.4% win rate (59 games)
  • 2200-2499: 18.5% win rate (39 games)
  • 2500+: 14.3% win rate (2 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (52%), worst in Rapid (5%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 52.4% win rate (9 games)
  • Bullet: 13.6% win rate (237 games)
  • Blitz: 5.7% win rate (147 games)
  • Rapid: 5.4% win rate (45 games)
  • Classical: 9.1% win rate (4 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 25.6% expected score (21 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 23.7% expected score (8 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 7.1% expected score (9 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 16.7% expected score (18 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 7.5% expected score (15 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 13.7% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 12.8% expected score (20 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 9.3% expected score (12 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 11.9% expected score (30 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 8.1% expected score (20 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 7.1% expected score (9 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 15.1% expected score (30 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 9.4% expected score (33 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 13.2% expected score (8 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 8.6% expected score (42 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 6.5% expected score (41 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 23.9% expected score (10 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 19.9% expected score (40 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 17.8% expected score (14 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 23.3% expected score (34 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 22.8% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Analyze Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian win rate?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian has a 86.7% (90% CI: 84.0%-89.2%) win rate for white, based on 442 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian perform best?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 90.7% win rate for white (95 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (90.6%) outperforms Bullet (84.1%) by 6.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian has a sharpness score of 97.4 (very decisive), meaning 97.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 17 moves.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian has a 84.1% (90% CI: 80.0%-87.8%) win rate for white (237 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.3%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian has a 90.6% (90% CI: 86.4%-94.2%) win rate for white (147 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian a good opening?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian is statistically favors white with a 86.7% (90% CI: 84.0%-89.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.