Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian
442 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds
12.0%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 14.6%.
Measured over 442 games at this level and clock.
Black comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the list.
Outcomes for Black
Draw 2.6 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 442 games
- Rank among the families Black can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 442
- Best context
- not measured yet
- Average game length
- 17 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 97.4%
- Draws
- 2.6%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 31.3% at 0-999, 21.5% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | — | ||||
| 1200-1399 | — | — | |||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 25.6% expected score (21 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 23.7% expected score (8 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 7.1% expected score (9 games)
- 0-999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 16.7% expected score (18 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 7.5% expected score (15 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 13.7% expected score (4 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 12.8% expected score (20 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 9.3% expected score (12 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 11.9% expected score (30 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 8.1% expected score (20 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 7.1% expected score (9 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 15.1% expected score (30 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 9.4% expected score (33 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 13.2% expected score (8 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 8.6% expected score (42 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 6.5% expected score (41 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 23.9% expected score (10 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 19.9% expected score (40 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 17.8% expected score (14 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 23.3% expected score (34 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 22.8% expected score (4 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian scores 12.0% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 9.6% and 14.6% — from 442 Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 442+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian win rate?
Playing the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian, Black wins 10.7%, draws 2.6% and loses 86.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 12.0%. It rests on 442 rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian perform best?
The Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian performs best for Black at 2000-2199, with an Expected Score of 18.6% (59 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
How sharp is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian?
The Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian has a sharpness score of 97.4 (very decisive), meaning 97.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 17 moves.
What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, Black wins 13.6%, draws 2.3% and loses 84.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 14.8%. It rests on 237 Lichess games.
What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, Black wins 5.7%, draws 3.7% and loses 90.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 7.5%. It rests on 147 Lichess games.
Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian a good opening?
The Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian is hard work for Black — it favours White. Across all ratings, Black wins 10.7% of its games and loses 86.7%. It performs best at 2000-2199. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.