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Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation

121K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score48.8%Range (90% confident): 48.6% – 49.1%Based on 121K games
0%48.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.6% – 49.1%
Outcome Distribution
46.5%4.6%48.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
2...e5
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation
Analyzen=121K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.6%

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation has a 48.8% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 48.6% and 49.1%), based on 121K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 50% → 41%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.7% win rate (6,858 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.7% win rate (10,370 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.2% win rate (14,827 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.4% win rate (18,807 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.5% win rate (22,930 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.7% win rate (24,034 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.0% win rate (15,243 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.1% win rate (7,341 games)
  • 2500+: 40.7% win rate (903 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (62%), worst in Rapid (46%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 61.9% win rate (30 games)
  • Bullet: 47.5% win rate (18,012 games)
  • Blitz: 46.4% win rate (70,575 games)
  • Rapid: 46.0% win rate (31,052 games)
  • Classical: 48.7% win rate (1,644 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (934 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (4,030 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 54.0% expected score (1,866 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 60.6% expected score (27 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (1,360 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (6,053 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 49.8% expected score (2,880 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 54.0% expected score (74 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.0% expected score (1,999 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (7,979 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (4,606 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 49.6% expected score (236 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (2,783 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (9,941 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (5,640 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 51.7% expected score (435 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (2,922 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (13,008 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (6,548 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 55.0% expected score (447 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (3,401 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (14,311 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.0% expected score (6,003 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 47.8% expected score (314 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.4% expected score (2,636 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (9,645 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.3% expected score (2,861 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 47.1% expected score (100 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (1,645 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.7% expected score (5,051 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 43.7% expected score (635 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 15.2% expected score (10 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (332 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 39.4% expected score (557 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (13 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Caro-Kann Defense
47.6%
Variations (5)
Caro-Kann Defense: Exchange Variation
47.2%
Caro-Kann Defense: Hillbilly Attack
44.6%
Caro-Kann Defense: Advance Variation
49.2%
Caro-Kann Defense: Advance Variation, Botvinnik-Carls Defense
46.0%
Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack
50.2%
Analyze Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation win rate?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 121K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation perform best?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 49.6% win rate for white (15K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (49.9%) outperforms Classical (46.2%) by 3.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation has a sharpness score of 95.4 (very decisive), meaning 95.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation has a 45.6% (90% CI: 44.6%-46.6%) win rate for white, based on 6.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 47.7%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.3%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.0%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 19K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 23K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 24K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.9%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.3%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 7.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.7% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 48.3%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 903 Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 8.2% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.2%-50.5%) win rate for white (18K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.2%) win rate for white (71K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.1%-49.0%) win rate for white (31K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation has a 46.2% (90% CI: 44.2%-48.2%) win rate for white (1.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation a good opening?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation is statistically balanced with a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.