What is the Alekhine Defense expected score for White?
Overall, the Alekhine Defense family has a 51.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.1% and 51.1%), aggregated from 54 variations and 20M Lichess games.
54 variations · 20M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
Alekhine Defense is balanced for White at 51.1% expected score.
This opening produces roughly even results, with outcomes depending more on middlegame play than opening choice.
Player-controlled continuations for White · Overall
Continuations show the most common variations from this opening. Higher expected scores indicate better statistical outcomes, but familiarity and playstyle matter too.
Overall, the Alekhine Defense family has a 51.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.1% and 51.1%), aggregated from 54 variations and 20M Lichess games.
Improves with rating: 50% → 52%
Best in Classical (52%), worst in UltraBullet (48%)
Click cells to filter · White expected scores
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
Matrix view reveals how performance varies across rating brackets and time controls. Green indicates favorable, red indicates challenging contexts.
The Alekhine Defense family has a 49.1% (90% CI: 49.1%-49.1%) win rate for white, aggregated from 54 variations and 20M rated games from Lichess.
This analysis covers 54 Alekhine Defense variations with sufficient game data. Each variation has its own statistics page with detailed win rates by rating and time control.
The Alekhine Defense family performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 51.4% win rate for white (1.3M games). Performance may vary by specific variation.
Classical (51.9%) outperforms UltraBullet (48.3%) by 3.6% across all Alekhine Defense variations.
Alekhine Defense games are 96.1% decisive (non-draws), with an average length of 34 moves. Sharpness varies by specific variation.
The Alekhine Defense family is statistically balanced overall with a 49.1% (90% CI: 49.1%-49.1%) aggregated win rate. However, win rates vary significantly between the 54 variations—explore individual lines to find the best fit for your style.