What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack expected score for White?
At all ratings, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack has a 46.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 46.6% and 46.8%), based on 466K Lichess games.
466K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack has a 46.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 46.6% and 46.8%), based on 466K Lichess games.
Declines with rating: 51% → 49%
Best in UltraBullet (51%), worst in Blitz (43%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack has a 44.8% (90% CI: 44.7%-44.9%) win rate for white, based on 466K rated games from Lichess.
The Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 53.7% win rate for white (2.6K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Bullet (46.9%) outperforms Classical (44.1%) by 2.8%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack has a sharpness score of 96.3 (very decisive), meaning 96.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack has a 50.7% (90% CI: 47.1%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 508 Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack has a 53.7% (90% CI: 52.1%-55.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 1.2% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack has a 50.6% (90% CI: 49.7%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 9.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 1.6% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.3%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 33K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack has a 45.5% (90% CI: 45.2%-45.7%) win rate for white, based on 88K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack has a 43.1% (90% CI: 42.9%-43.3%) win rate for white, based on 152K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack has a 43.5% (90% CI: 43.2%-43.7%) win rate for white, based on 116K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.5%-47.2%) win rate for white, based on 54K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.8%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 8.4% draw rate.
In UltraBullet games, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack has a 51.1% (90% CI: 44.6%-57.6%) win rate for white (156 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.3%.
In Bullet games, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.7%-47.1%) win rate for white (200K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.
In Blitz games, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack has a 43.2% (90% CI: 43.0%-43.3%) win rate for white (232K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.
In Rapid games, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack has a 43.8% (90% CI: 43.4%-44.3%) win rate for white (32K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.
In Classical games, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack has a 44.1% (90% CI: 41.8%-46.4%) win rate for white (1.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.8%.
The Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack is slightly favors black with a 44.8% (90% CI: 44.7%-44.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.