Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack

466K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score46.7%Range (90% confident): 46.6% – 46.8%Based on 466K games
0%46.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.6% – 46.8%
Outcome Distribution
44.8%3.7%51.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.f4
Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack
Analyzen=466K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.7%

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack has a 46.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 46.6% and 46.8%), based on 466K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 51% → 49%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.7% win rate (508 games)
  • 1000-1199: 53.7% win rate (2,595 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.6% win rate (9,750 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.7% win rate (32,736 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.5% win rate (88,345 games)
  • 1800-1999: 43.1% win rate (151,701 games)
  • 2000-2199: 43.5% win rate (115,859 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.9% win rate (53,530 games)
  • 2500+: 48.6% win rate (11,343 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (51%), worst in Blitz (43%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 51.1% win rate (156 games)
  • Bullet: 46.9% win rate (200,229 games)
  • Blitz: 43.2% win rate (232,352 games)
  • Rapid: 43.8% win rate (32,356 games)
  • Classical: 44.1% win rate (1,274 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (330 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 55.5% expected score (145 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 60.2% expected score (33 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (1,792 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 58.0% expected score (682 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 74.0% expected score (113 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 41.6% expected score (34 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (6,072 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (3,259 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 57.3% expected score (372 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 56.9% expected score (13 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 51.0% expected score (53 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (17,060 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (14,252 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 56.6% expected score (1,274 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 63.2% expected score (97 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 79.8% expected score (22 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.5% expected score (36,578 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.2% expected score (46,491 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (4,982 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 49.0% expected score (272 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 44.8% expected score (27 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.4% expected score (51,377 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 43.3% expected score (86,806 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 45.7% expected score (12,860 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 42.9% expected score (631 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 54.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.9% expected score (48,010 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 43.9% expected score (57,620 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 43.3% expected score (10,003 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 52.1% expected score (215 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (29,614 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (21,261 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (2,615 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 55.2% expected score (37 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (9,396 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 54.6% expected score (1,836 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 62.3% expected score (104 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 73.5% expected score (7 games)

Related Openings

Analyze Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack win rate?

The Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack has a 44.8% (90% CI: 44.7%-44.9%) win rate for white, based on 466K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack perform best?

The Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 53.7% win rate for white (2.6K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (46.9%) outperforms Classical (44.1%) by 2.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack?

The Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack has a sharpness score of 96.3 (very decisive), meaning 96.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack has a 50.7% (90% CI: 47.1%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 508 Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack has a 53.7% (90% CI: 52.1%-55.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 1.2% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack has a 50.6% (90% CI: 49.7%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 9.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 1.6% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.3%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 33K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack has a 45.5% (90% CI: 45.2%-45.7%) win rate for white, based on 88K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack has a 43.1% (90% CI: 42.9%-43.3%) win rate for white, based on 152K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack has a 43.5% (90% CI: 43.2%-43.7%) win rate for white, based on 116K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.5%-47.2%) win rate for white, based on 54K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.8%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 8.4% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack has a 51.1% (90% CI: 44.6%-57.6%) win rate for white (156 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.3%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.7%-47.1%) win rate for white (200K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack has a 43.2% (90% CI: 43.0%-43.3%) win rate for white (232K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack has a 43.8% (90% CI: 43.4%-44.3%) win rate for white (32K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack has a 44.1% (90% CI: 41.8%-46.4%) win rate for white (1.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.8%.

Is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack a good opening?

The Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack is slightly favors black with a 44.8% (90% CI: 44.7%-44.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.