Skip to content
TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation

96K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Key Finding

Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation is balanced for Black at 50.9% expected score.

Results are roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.

You play
Playable
Rating
Time
Black Expected Score50.9%Based on 96K gamesWin + ½×draw — predicts rating gain better than win rate
45%50.9%55%
Range (90% confident): 50.6% – 51.2%
Min adv+1.1%
ContextAll ratings · All speeds · n=96K
Outcome Distribution
5...Bf5
Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation
Analyzen=96K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.1%

Sharpness — share of games that end decisively

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation has a 50.9% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 50.6% and 51.2%), based on 96K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 57% → 38%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 57.0% win rate (38 games)
  • 1000-1199: 52.9% win rate (357 games)
  • 1200-1399: 52.1% win rate (1,776 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.3% win rate (6,948 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.6% win rate (19,589 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.8% win rate (30,880 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.0% win rate (21,634 games)
  • 2200-2499: 45.5% win rate (11,521 games)
  • 2500+: 38.2% win rate (2,838 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (82%), worst in Classical (43%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 81.8% win rate (4 games)
  • Bullet: 49.3% win rate (33,358 games)
  • Blitz: 48.6% win rate (53,376 games)
  • Rapid: 48.2% win rate (8,429 games)
  • Classical: 43.2% win rate (414 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter — click it again to clear. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999———
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 68.2% expected score (26 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 35.2% expected score (12 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 55.2% expected score (228 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (114 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (13 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (1,071 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (650 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 39.9% expected score (53 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (2,909 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (3,732 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.0% expected score (274 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 39.3% expected score (31 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (5,956 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (12,127 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (1,376 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 52.7% expected score (130 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (9,512 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (17,656 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.8% expected score (3,537 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 46.3% expected score (175 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (7,121 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (11,925 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.5% expected score (2,533 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 39.4% expected score (55 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (4,714 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.3% expected score (6,204 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 47.2% expected score (597 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 45.0% expected score (1,821 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 39.3% expected score (956 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 32.1% expected score (46 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 31.8% expected score (15 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Alekhine Defense
50.7%
Variations (5)
Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation
47.1%
Alekhine Defense: Maróczy Variation
49.0%
Alekhine Defense: Normal Variation
49.9%
Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation
47.4%
Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Geschev Gambit
47.6%
Analyze Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates at your level with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation win rate?

The Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation has a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.8%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 96K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation perform best?

The Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 52.7% win rate for white (2.8K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (47.4%) outperforms Rapid (46.9%) by 0.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation?

The Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation has a sharpness score of 95.9 (very decisive), meaning 95.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation has a 46.2% (90% CI: 41.9%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 357 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 1.0% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation has a 45.5% (90% CI: 43.5%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 46.5%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 6.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation has a 46.3% (90% CI: 45.7%-46.9%) win rate for white, based on 20K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation has a 46.3% (90% CI: 45.9%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 31K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation has a 47.2% (90% CI: 46.6%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 22K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.3%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation has a 52.7% (90% CI: 51.2%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 2.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 9.1% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation has a 47.4% (90% CI: 46.9%-47.8%) win rate for white (33K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.6%-47.3%) win rate for white (53K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.0%-47.8%) win rate for white (8.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 46.6%-54.7%) win rate for white (414 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.1%.

Is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation a good opening?

The Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation is statistically balanced with a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.8%-47.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.