Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack

906K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score50.8%Range (90% confident): 50.7% – 50.9%Based on 906K games
0%50.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.7% – 50.9%
Outcome Distribution
49.1%3.3%47.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.c4
Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack
Analyzen=906K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.3%

What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack has a 50.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.7% and 50.9%), based on 906K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 52% → 50%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 52.3% win rate (15,821 games)
  • 1000-1199: 52.8% win rate (30,894 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.3% win rate (65,941 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.8% win rate (130,711 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.6% win rate (213,682 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.7% win rate (247,059 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.3% win rate (145,661 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.0% win rate (50,173 games)
  • 2500+: 49.9% win rate (6,511 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (52%), worst in Blitz (49%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 51.0% win rate (1,555 games)
  • Bullet: 49.5% win rate (401,756 games)
  • Blitz: 48.5% win rate (414,910 games)
  • Rapid: 50.2% win rate (84,265 games)
  • Classical: 52.1% win rate (3,967 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 34.9% expected score (15 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (5,660 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 56.4% expected score (7,441 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 59.0% expected score (2,686 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 52.4% expected score (19 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 38.4% expected score (63 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (13,509 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 55.4% expected score (13,472 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 59.1% expected score (3,769 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (81 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 47.2% expected score (297 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (29,292 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (30,072 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 56.9% expected score (6,051 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 60.0% expected score (229 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 49.5% expected score (394 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (54,307 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (63,849 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 55.9% expected score (11,440 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 58.1% expected score (721 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 52.8% expected score (413 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (81,003 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (109,280 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (21,622 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 53.9% expected score (1,364 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 56.9% expected score (253 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (95,322 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (123,985 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (26,212 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 51.4% expected score (1,287 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 61.9% expected score (91 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (78,662 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.7% expected score (55,865 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.6% expected score (10,803 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 54.2% expected score (240 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 53.8% expected score (25 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (37,970 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (10,521 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.7% expected score (1,635 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 67.1% expected score (22 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (6,031 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 58.9% expected score (425 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 67.6% expected score (47 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Analyze Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack win rate?

The Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack has a 49.1% (90% CI: 49.0%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 906K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack perform best?

The Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 52.8% win rate for white (31K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (52.1%) outperforms Blitz (48.5%) by 3.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack?

The Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack has a sharpness score of 96.7 (very decisive), meaning 96.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack has a 52.3% (90% CI: 51.6%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack has a 52.8% (90% CI: 52.3%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 31K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack has a 51.3% (90% CI: 51.0%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 66K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.5%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 131K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.5%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 214K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack has a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.5%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 247K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack has a 48.3% (90% CI: 48.1%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 146K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 50K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack has a 49.9% (90% CI: 48.9%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 6.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack has a 51.0% (90% CI: 48.9%-53.1%) win rate for white (1.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.9%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.4%-49.6%) win rate for white (402K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.5%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.3%-48.6%) win rate for white (415K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack has a 50.2% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.5%) win rate for white (84K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack has a 52.1% (90% CI: 50.8%-53.4%) win rate for white (4.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

Is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack a good opening?

The Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack is statistically balanced with a 49.1% (90% CI: 49.0%-49.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.