What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack expected score for White?
At all ratings, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack has a 50.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.7% and 50.9%), based on 906K Lichess games.
906K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack has a 50.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.7% and 50.9%), based on 906K Lichess games.
Declines with rating: 52% → 50%
Best in Classical (52%), worst in Blitz (49%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack has a 49.1% (90% CI: 49.0%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 906K rated games from Lichess.
The Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 52.8% win rate for white (31K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Classical (52.1%) outperforms Blitz (48.5%) by 3.6%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack has a sharpness score of 96.7 (very decisive), meaning 96.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack has a 52.3% (90% CI: 51.6%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack has a 52.8% (90% CI: 52.3%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 31K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack has a 51.3% (90% CI: 51.0%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 66K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.5%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 131K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.5%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 214K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack has a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.5%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 247K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack has a 48.3% (90% CI: 48.1%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 146K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 50K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack has a 49.9% (90% CI: 48.9%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 6.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.
In UltraBullet games, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack has a 51.0% (90% CI: 48.9%-53.1%) win rate for white (1.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.9%.
In Bullet games, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.4%-49.6%) win rate for white (402K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.5%.
In Blitz games, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.3%-48.6%) win rate for white (415K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.
In Rapid games, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack has a 50.2% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.5%) win rate for white (84K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.
In Classical games, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack has a 52.1% (90% CI: 50.8%-53.4%) win rate for white (4.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.
The Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack is statistically balanced with a 49.1% (90% CI: 49.0%-49.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.