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Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Geschev Gambit

936K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Key Finding

Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Geschev Gambit is balanced for Black at 50.7% expected score.

Results are roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.

You play
Playable
Rating
Time
Black Expected Score50.7%Based on 936K gamesWin + ½×draw — predicts rating gain better than win rate
45%50.7%55%
Range (90% confident): 50.6% – 50.8%
Min adv+1.2%
ContextAll ratings · All speeds · n=936K
Outcome Distribution
3...c6
Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Geschev Gambit
Analyzen=936K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.4%

Sharpness — share of games that end decisively

What is the Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Geschev Gambit expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Geschev Gambit has a 50.7% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 50.6% and 50.8%), based on 936K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: +1.9% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 47% → 43%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.2% win rate (22,286 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.2% win rate (51,301 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.5% win rate (94,699 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.9% win rate (142,721 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.0% win rate (184,105 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.4% win rate (211,512 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.4% win rate (145,573 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.3% win rate (72,159 games)
  • 2500+: 42.7% win rate (11,287 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (54%), worst in Classical (44%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 54.0% win rate (3,091 games)
  • Bullet: 50.2% win rate (463,722 games)
  • Blitz: 48.1% win rate (390,557 games)
  • Rapid: 46.3% win rate (76,096 games)
  • Classical: 44.2% win rate (2,177 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter — click it again to clear. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 74.4% expected score (17 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (7,895 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (10,519 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 46.2% expected score (3,834 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 47.8% expected score (21 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 59.9% expected score (105 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (19,627 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (23,834 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 46.4% expected score (7,622 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 40.0% expected score (113 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 57.3% expected score (800 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.6% expected score (36,742 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (43,235 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 48.3% expected score (13,662 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 47.1% expected score (260 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 53.6% expected score (631 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (56,078 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (67,391 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (17,911 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 48.8% expected score (710 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 54.9% expected score (716 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (75,889 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (89,658 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (17,223 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 45.4% expected score (619 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.9% expected score (446 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (102,083 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (97,213 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (11,387 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 47.8% expected score (383 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 51.3% expected score (234 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (91,521 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (49,791 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 46.7% expected score (3,960 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 36.1% expected score (67 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 57.9% expected score (119 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (62,891 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 45.1% expected score (8,666 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 42.2% expected score (479 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 48.0% expected score (23 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 45.8% expected score (10,996 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 44.1% expected score (250 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 37.2% expected score (18 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Alekhine Defense
50.7%
Variations (5)
Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation
47.1%
Alekhine Defense: Maróczy Variation
49.0%
Alekhine Defense: Normal Variation
49.9%
Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation
47.4%
Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack
49.1%
Analyze Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Geschev Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates at your level with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Geschev Gambit win rate?

The Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Geschev Gambit has a 47.6% (90% CI: 47.5%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 936K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Geschev Gambit perform best?

The Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Geschev Gambit performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 51.3% win rate for white (11K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Geschev Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (51.3%) outperforms UltraBullet (44.5%) by 6.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Geschev Gambit?

The Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Geschev Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.6 (very decisive), meaning 96.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Geschev Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Geschev Gambit has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.3%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 22K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Geschev Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Geschev Gambit has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 51K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Geschev Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Geschev Gambit has a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.5%-48.0%) win rate for white, based on 95K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Geschev Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Geschev Gambit has a 47.2% (90% CI: 47.0%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 143K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Geschev Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Geschev Gambit has a 46.8% (90% CI: 46.6%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 184K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Geschev Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Geschev Gambit has a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.9%-47.2%) win rate for white, based on 212K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Geschev Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Geschev Gambit has a 47.6% (90% CI: 47.4%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 146K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Geschev Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Geschev Gambit has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.8%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 72K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Geschev Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Geschev Gambit has a 51.3% (90% CI: 50.6%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Geschev Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Geschev Gambit has a 44.5% (90% CI: 43.0%-46.0%) win rate for white (3.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.5%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Geschev Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Geschev Gambit has a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.8%-47.1%) win rate for white (464K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Geschev Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Geschev Gambit has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.8%-48.0%) win rate for white (391K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Geschev Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Geschev Gambit has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.2%-49.8%) win rate for white (76K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Geschev Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Geschev Gambit has a 51.3% (90% CI: 49.5%-53.0%) win rate for white (2.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

Is the Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Geschev Gambit a good opening?

The Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Geschev Gambit is statistically balanced with a 47.6% (90% CI: 47.5%-47.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.