What is the Alekhine Defense: Brooklyn Variation expected score for White?
At all ratings, the Alekhine Defense: Brooklyn Variation has a 52.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.5% and 52.7%), based on 625K Lichess games.
625K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Alekhine Defense: Brooklyn Variation has a 52.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.5% and 52.7%), based on 625K Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Declines with rating: 51% → 48%
Best in Classical (60%), worst in Bullet (50%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Alekhine Defense: Brooklyn Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 625K rated games from Lichess.
The Alekhine Defense: Brooklyn Variation performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 52.6% win rate for white (41K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Classical (60.3%) outperforms Bullet (49.6%) by 10.7%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Alekhine Defense: Brooklyn Variation has a sharpness score of 96.6 (very decisive), meaning 96.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Brooklyn Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.4%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 23K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Brooklyn Variation has a 52.6% (90% CI: 52.2%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 41K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Brooklyn Variation has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.5%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 68K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Brooklyn Variation has a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.7%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 92K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Brooklyn Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.7%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 118K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Brooklyn Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.7%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 119K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Brooklyn Variation has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 84K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Brooklyn Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 58K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Brooklyn Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.3%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 24K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.
In UltraBullet games, the Alekhine Defense: Brooklyn Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 49.9%-52.8%) win rate for white (3.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.4%.
In Bullet games, the Alekhine Defense: Brooklyn Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.5%-49.7%) win rate for white (386K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.
In Blitz games, the Alekhine Defense: Brooklyn Variation has a 52.5% (90% CI: 52.3%-52.7%) win rate for white (197K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.
In Rapid games, the Alekhine Defense: Brooklyn Variation has a 55.1% (90% CI: 54.7%-55.6%) win rate for white (38K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.
In Classical games, the Alekhine Defense: Brooklyn Variation has a 60.3% (90% CI: 58.5%-62.2%) win rate for white (1.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.
The Alekhine Defense: Brooklyn Variation is statistically favors white with a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.