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Alekhine Defense: Maróczy Variation

1.9M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.1%Range (90% confident): 51.0% – 51.1%Based on 1.9M games
0%51.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.0% – 51.1%
Outcome Distribution
49.0%4.1%46.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
2.d3
Alekhine Defense: Maróczy Variation
Analyzen=1.9M
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.1%

What is the Alekhine Defense: Maróczy Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Alekhine Defense: Maróczy Variation has a 51.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.0% and 51.1%), based on 1.9M Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 48% → 51%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 48.0% win rate (172,851 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.8% win rate (148,045 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.4% win rate (202,338 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.1% win rate (271,217 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.0% win rate (319,911 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.6% win rate (358,522 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.7% win rate (289,862 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.6% win rate (154,564 games)
  • 2500+: 50.7% win rate (21,768 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (50%), worst in UltraBullet (46%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 46.2% win rate (32,694 games)
  • Bullet: 49.8% win rate (953,059 games)
  • Blitz: 48.2% win rate (763,089 games)
  • Rapid: 48.3% win rate (181,781 games)
  • Classical: 49.6% win rate (8,455 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 42.1% expected score (258 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (30,228 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (86,884 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (54,866 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 53.1% expected score (615 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 45.8% expected score (888 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (48,040 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (67,779 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (29,748 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 55.0% expected score (1,590 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 45.8% expected score (3,568 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (86,853 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (85,915 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.6% expected score (24,006 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 53.2% expected score (1,996 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 44.4% expected score (10,876 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (127,575 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (107,236 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.0% expected score (23,482 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 52.9% expected score (2,048 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 47.4% expected score (9,751 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (162,398 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (124,500 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.4% expected score (21,887 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 49.0% expected score (1,375 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.6% expected score (5,708 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (192,083 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (143,236 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.4% expected score (16,862 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.6% expected score (633 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 56.4% expected score (1,364 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (173,003 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (106,435 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.3% expected score (8,880 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 44.0% expected score (180 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 50.4% expected score (249 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (113,654 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (38,624 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (2,019 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 39.8% expected score (18 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 51.5% expected score (32 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.2% expected score (19,225 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (2,480 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 54.6% expected score (31 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Alekhine Defense
50.7%
Variations (5)
Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation
48.3%
Alekhine Defense: Brooklyn Variation
50.9%
Alekhine Defense: Brooklyn Variation, Everglades Variation
53.3%
Alekhine Defense: Buckley Attack
49.7%
Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation
47.4%
Analyze Alekhine Defense: Maróczy Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Alekhine Defense: Maróczy Variation win rate?

The Alekhine Defense: Maróczy Variation has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.9M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Alekhine Defense: Maróczy Variation perform best?

The Alekhine Defense: Maróczy Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 50.7% win rate for white (22K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Alekhine Defense: Maróczy Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (49.8%) outperforms UltraBullet (46.2%) by 3.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Alekhine Defense: Maróczy Variation?

The Alekhine Defense: Maróczy Variation has a sharpness score of 95.9 (very decisive), meaning 95.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Maróczy Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Maróczy Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.8%-48.2%) win rate for white, based on 173K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Maróczy Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Maróczy Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 148K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Maróczy Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Maróczy Variation has a 49.4% (90% CI: 49.2%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 202K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Maróczy Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Maróczy Variation has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 271K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Maróczy Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Maróczy Variation has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 320K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Maróczy Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Maróczy Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.5%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 359K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Maróczy Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Maróczy Variation has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.6%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 290K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Maróczy Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Maróczy Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.4%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 155K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Maróczy Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Maróczy Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.2%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 22K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 6.6% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Maróczy Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Alekhine Defense: Maróczy Variation has a 46.2% (90% CI: 45.7%-46.6%) win rate for white (33K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.8%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Maróczy Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Alekhine Defense: Maróczy Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.7%-49.9%) win rate for white (953K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Maróczy Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Alekhine Defense: Maróczy Variation has a 48.2% (90% CI: 48.1%-48.3%) win rate for white (763K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Maróczy Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Alekhine Defense: Maróczy Variation has a 48.3% (90% CI: 48.1%-48.5%) win rate for white (182K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.7%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Maróczy Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Alekhine Defense: Maróczy Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.7%-50.5%) win rate for white (8.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.

Is the Alekhine Defense: Maróczy Variation a good opening?

The Alekhine Defense: Maróczy Variation is statistically balanced with a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.