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Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Cambridge Gambit

17K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Key Finding

Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Cambridge Gambit is balanced for Black at 51.1% expected score.

Results are roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.

You play
Playable
Rating
Time
Black Expected Score51.1%Based on 17K gamesWin + ½×draw — predicts rating gain better than win rate
45%51.1%55%
Range (90% confident): 50.5% – 51.7%
Min adv+0.9%
ContextAll ratings · All speeds · n=17K
Outcome Distribution
5...g5
Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Cambridge Gambit
Analyzen=17K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.9%

Sharpness — share of games that end decisively

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Cambridge Gambit expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Cambridge Gambit has a 51.1% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 50.5% and 51.7%), based on 17K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: +2.6% · Breakpoint: 1200-1399

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 8.8% · Classical best · Blitz worst

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 52% → 46%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 52.4% win rate (9 games)
  • 1000-1199: 39.0% win rate (28 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.4% win rate (120 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.3% win rate (695 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.3% win rate (2,127 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.2% win rate (5,827 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.8% win rate (5,285 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.5% win rate (2,739 games)
  • 2500+: 45.9% win rate (610 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (82%), worst in Classical (39%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 81.8% win rate (4 games)
  • Bullet: 49.7% win rate (6,181 games)
  • Blitz: 49.2% win rate (10,229 games)
  • Rapid: 46.1% win rate (876 games)
  • Classical: 38.6% win rate (150 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter — click it again to clear. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 39.8% expected score (23 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 55.4% expected score (101 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 30.7% expected score (14 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.7% expected score (462 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (217 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 27.2% expected score (16 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (868 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (1,150 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (83 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 46.4% expected score (26 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (1,815 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.2% expected score (3,636 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.5% expected score (269 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 44.5% expected score (107 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (1,561 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (3,339 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.0% expected score (373 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 20.4% expected score (12 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (911 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (1,693 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 46.6% expected score (131 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (436 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 44.9% expected score (174 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Alekhine Defense
50.7%
Variations (5)
Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation
47.1%
Alekhine Defense: Maróczy Variation
49.0%
Alekhine Defense: Normal Variation
49.9%
Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation
47.4%
Alekhine Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Geschev Gambit
47.6%
Analyze Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Cambridge Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates at your level with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Cambridge Gambit win rate?

The Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Cambridge Gambit has a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.4%-47.6%) win rate for white, based on 17K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Cambridge Gambit perform best?

The Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Cambridge Gambit performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 48.7% win rate for white (2.7K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Cambridge Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (55.1%) outperforms Blitz (46.3%) by 8.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Cambridge Gambit?

The Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Cambridge Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Cambridge Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Cambridge Gambit has a 48.1% (90% CI: 40.7%-55.6%) win rate for white, based on 120 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 0.4% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Cambridge Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Cambridge Gambit has a 47.0% (90% CI: 43.9%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 695 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Cambridge Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Cambridge Gambit has a 48.7% (90% CI: 47.0%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Cambridge Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Cambridge Gambit has a 45.1% (90% CI: 44.1%-46.2%) win rate for white, based on 5.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Cambridge Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Cambridge Gambit has a 47.1% (90% CI: 45.9%-48.2%) win rate for white, based on 5.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Cambridge Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Cambridge Gambit has a 48.7% (90% CI: 47.2%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Cambridge Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Cambridge Gambit has a 48.8% (90% CI: 45.5%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 610 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Cambridge Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Cambridge Gambit has a 47.6% (90% CI: 46.6%-48.7%) win rate for white (6.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.6%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Cambridge Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Cambridge Gambit has a 46.3% (90% CI: 45.5%-47.1%) win rate for white (10K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Cambridge Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Cambridge Gambit has a 49.5% (90% CI: 46.7%-52.3%) win rate for white (876 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Cambridge Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Cambridge Gambit has a 55.1% (90% CI: 48.4%-61.7%) win rate for white (150 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.3%.

Is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Cambridge Gambit a good opening?

The Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Cambridge Gambit is statistically balanced with a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.4%-47.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.