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Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Mikenas Gambit

1.2K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score57.8%Range (90% confident): 55.5% – 60.1%Based on 1.2K games
0%57.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 55.5% – 60.1%
Outcome Distribution
55.6%4.4%40.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
8.Bxd5
Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Mikenas Gambit
Analyzen=1.2K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.4%

What is the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Mikenas Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Mikenas Gambit has a 57.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 55.5% and 60.1%), based on 1.2K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +15.5% · Breakpoint: 1600-1799

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 33% → 56%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 33.3% win rate (6 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.1% win rate (12 games)
  • 1200-1399: 68.6% win rate (24 games)
  • 1400-1599: 61.9% win rate (30 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.2% win rate (68 games)
  • 1800-1999: 59.7% win rate (150 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.5% win rate (345 games)
  • 2200-2499: 58.6% win rate (469 games)
  • 2500+: 56.2% win rate (99 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (68%), worst in UltraBullet (20%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 57.7% win rate (552 games)
  • Blitz: 52.8% win rate (613 games)
  • Rapid: 68.0% win rate (36 games)
  • Classical: 60.0% win rate (1 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199———
1200-1399——
1400-1599———
1600-1799—
1800-1999——
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 40.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 65.2% expected score (15 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 63.6% expected score (17 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 63.8% expected score (13 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 41.6% expected score (34 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 54.9% expected score (29 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 59.8% expected score (65 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 62.9% expected score (80 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 65.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (123 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (214 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 64.8% expected score (208 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 58.2% expected score (245 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 67.2% expected score (16 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 60.6% expected score (84 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 65.2% expected score (15 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Alekhine Defense
50.7%
Variations (5)
Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation
48.3%
Alekhine Defense: Brooklyn Variation
50.9%
Alekhine Defense: Brooklyn Variation, Everglades Variation
53.3%
Alekhine Defense: Buckley Attack
49.7%
Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation
47.4%
Analyze Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Mikenas Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Mikenas Gambit win rate?

The Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Mikenas Gambit has a 55.6% (90% CI: 53.2%-57.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Mikenas Gambit perform best?

The Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Mikenas Gambit performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 58.6% win rate for white (469 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Mikenas Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (57.7%) outperforms Blitz (52.8%) by 4.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Mikenas Gambit?

The Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Mikenas Gambit has a sharpness score of 95.6 (very decisive), meaning 95.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Mikenas Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Mikenas Gambit has a 59.7% (90% CI: 53.1%-66.2%) win rate for white, based on 150 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Mikenas Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Mikenas Gambit has a 49.5% (90% CI: 45.1%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 345 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Mikenas Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Mikenas Gambit has a 58.6% (90% CI: 54.8%-62.3%) win rate for white, based on 469 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Mikenas Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Mikenas Gambit has a 57.7% (90% CI: 54.3%-61.2%) win rate for white (552 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Mikenas Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Mikenas Gambit has a 52.8% (90% CI: 49.5%-56.1%) win rate for white (613 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

Is the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Mikenas Gambit a good opening?

The Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Mikenas Gambit is statistically favors white with a 55.6% (90% CI: 53.2%-57.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.