What is the Alekhine Defense: Steiner Variation expected score for White?
At all ratings, the Alekhine Defense: Steiner Variation has a 49.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 49.0% and 49.8%), based on 43K Lichess games.
43K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Alekhine Defense: Steiner Variation has a 49.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 49.0% and 49.8%), based on 43K Lichess games.
Improves with rating: 45% → 55%
Similar across time controls (~48%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | ||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Alekhine Defense: Steiner Variation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 47.1%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 43K rated games from Lichess.
The Alekhine Defense: Steiner Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 55.1% win rate for white (471 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Bullet (47.7%) outperforms Classical (46.1%) by 1.6%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Alekhine Defense: Steiner Variation has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Steiner Variation has a 44.7% (90% CI: 41.8%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 784 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Steiner Variation has a 46.9% (90% CI: 45.0%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Steiner Variation has a 47.1% (90% CI: 45.8%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 4.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Steiner Variation has a 47.7% (90% CI: 46.8%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 7.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Steiner Variation has a 46.3% (90% CI: 45.5%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 9.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Steiner Variation has a 46.1% (90% CI: 45.3%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 9.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Steiner Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.3%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 6.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Steiner Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 48.9%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 3.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Steiner Variation has a 55.1% (90% CI: 51.4%-58.9%) win rate for white, based on 471 Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 7.3% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Alekhine Defense: Steiner Variation has a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.0%-48.3%) win rate for white (16K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.3%.
In Blitz games, the Alekhine Defense: Steiner Variation has a 47.4% (90% CI: 46.9%-47.9%) win rate for white (23K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.
In Rapid games, the Alekhine Defense: Steiner Variation has a 46.9% (90% CI: 45.6%-48.3%) win rate for white (3.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.
In Classical games, the Alekhine Defense: Steiner Variation has a 46.1% (90% CI: 39.4%-52.9%) win rate for white (147 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.
The Alekhine Defense: Steiner Variation is statistically balanced with a 47.5% (90% CI: 47.1%-47.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.