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Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation

38K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score43.6%Range (90% confident): 43.2% – 44.0%Based on 38K games
0%43.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 43.2% – 44.0%
Outcome Distribution
41.3%4.6%54.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.c5
Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation
Analyzen=38K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.6%

What is the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation has a 43.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 43.2% and 44.0%), based on 38K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 17.5% · UltraBullet best · Classical worst

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 47% → 42%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.6% win rate (534 games)
  • 1000-1199: 44.9% win rate (1,376 games)
  • 1200-1399: 42.1% win rate (3,309 games)
  • 1400-1599: 42.5% win rate (6,931 games)
  • 1600-1799: 40.5% win rate (10,333 games)
  • 1800-1999: 40.1% win rate (9,339 games)
  • 2000-2199: 42.2% win rate (4,558 games)
  • 2200-2499: 39.6% win rate (1,621 games)
  • 2500+: 41.6% win rate (204 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (49%), worst in Classical (31%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 48.7% win rate (318 games)
  • Bullet: 43.8% win rate (23,137 games)
  • Blitz: 37.6% win rate (12,025 games)
  • Rapid: 36.5% win rate (2,600 games)
  • Classical: 31.2% win rate (125 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 43.9% expected score (194 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (278 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 48.5% expected score (62 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (613 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 44.7% expected score (597 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 37.1% expected score (157 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 52.1% expected score (46 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 44.8% expected score (1,681 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 42.1% expected score (1,291 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 44.8% expected score (284 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 14.7% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 51.2% expected score (86 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 46.4% expected score (3,570 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 42.0% expected score (2,755 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 41.1% expected score (484 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 36.7% expected score (36 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 46.1% expected score (88 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 46.1% expected score (5,410 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 39.1% expected score (3,992 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 39.0% expected score (791 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 35.1% expected score (52 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 49.2% expected score (55 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 45.8% expected score (6,058 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 37.2% expected score (2,525 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 34.9% expected score (677 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 42.2% expected score (24 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (27 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.6% expected score (3,869 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 36.0% expected score (525 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 40.9% expected score (135 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 62.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 43.7% expected score (1,540 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 31.3% expected score (60 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 37.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 45.6% expected score (202 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 35.7% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Alekhine Defense
50.7%
Variations (5)
Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation
48.3%
Alekhine Defense: Brooklyn Variation
50.9%
Alekhine Defense: Brooklyn Variation, Everglades Variation
53.3%
Alekhine Defense: Buckley Attack
49.7%
Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation
47.4%
Continuations (3)
Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Lasker Simul Gambit
53.7%
Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Matsukevich Gambit
66.1%
Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Mikenas Gambit
55.6%
Analyze Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation win rate?

The Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation has a 41.3% (90% CI: 40.9%-41.7%) win rate for white, based on 38K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation perform best?

The Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation performs best at 0-999 Elo with a 46.6% win rate for white (534 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (48.7%) outperforms Classical (31.2%) by 17.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation?

The Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation has a sharpness score of 95.4 (very decisive), meaning 95.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation has a 46.6% (90% CI: 43.1%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 534 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation has a 44.9% (90% CI: 42.7%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation has a 42.1% (90% CI: 40.7%-43.5%) win rate for white, based on 3.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation has a 42.5% (90% CI: 41.5%-43.5%) win rate for white, based on 6.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation has a 40.5% (90% CI: 39.7%-41.3%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation has a 40.1% (90% CI: 39.3%-40.9%) win rate for white, based on 9.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation has a 42.2% (90% CI: 41.0%-43.4%) win rate for white, based on 4.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation has a 39.6% (90% CI: 37.6%-41.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 7.4% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation has a 41.6% (90% CI: 36.0%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 204 Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 7.5% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation has a 48.7% (90% CI: 44.1%-53.3%) win rate for white (318 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.0%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation has a 43.8% (90% CI: 43.2%-44.3%) win rate for white (23K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation has a 37.6% (90% CI: 36.8%-38.3%) win rate for white (12K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation has a 36.5% (90% CI: 35.0%-38.1%) win rate for white (2.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation has a 31.2% (90% CI: 24.6%-38.1%) win rate for white (125 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.9%.

Is the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation a good opening?

The Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation is slightly favors black with a 41.3% (90% CI: 40.9%-41.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 0-999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.