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Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Matsukevich Gambit

1.6K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score67.6%Range (90% confident): 65.7% – 69.5%Based on 1.6K games
0%67.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 65.7% – 69.5%
Outcome Distribution
66.1%2.9%30.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
7.Bg5
Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Matsukevich Gambit
Analyzen=1.6K
Avg Length29 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.9%

What is the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Matsukevich Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Matsukevich Gambit has a 67.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 65.7% and 69.5%), based on 1.6K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +32.4% · Breakpoint: 1600-1799

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 20% → 66%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.7% win rate (6 games)
  • 1200-1399: 44.8% win rate (13 games)
  • 1400-1599: 76.7% win rate (20 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.2% win rate (97 games)
  • 1800-1999: 69.6% win rate (308 games)
  • 2000-2199: 67.5% win rate (737 games)
  • 2200-2499: 65.1% win rate (371 games)
  • 2500+: 65.8% win rate (92 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (82%), worst in UltraBullet (20%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 67.3% win rate (846 games)
  • Blitz: 65.2% win rate (708 games)
  • Rapid: 60.0% win rate (86 games)
  • Classical: 81.8% win rate (4 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999————
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999——
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 76.1% expected score (10 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 83.4% expected score (9 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 58.0% expected score (30 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.0% expected score (61 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 71.6% expected score (96 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 69.6% expected score (193 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 72.0% expected score (19 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 69.5% expected score (377 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (306 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.7% expected score (51 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 67.7% expected score (239 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 63.8% expected score (126 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 90.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 67.7% expected score (89 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 61.2% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Alekhine Defense
50.7%
Variations (5)
Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation
48.3%
Alekhine Defense: Brooklyn Variation
50.9%
Alekhine Defense: Brooklyn Variation, Everglades Variation
53.3%
Alekhine Defense: Buckley Attack
49.7%
Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation
47.4%
Analyze Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Matsukevich Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Matsukevich Gambit win rate?

The Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Matsukevich Gambit has a 66.1% (90% CI: 64.2%-68.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Matsukevich Gambit perform best?

The Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Matsukevich Gambit performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 69.6% win rate for white (308 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Matsukevich Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (67.3%) outperforms Rapid (60.0%) by 7.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Matsukevich Gambit?

The Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Matsukevich Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.1 (very decisive), meaning 97.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Matsukevich Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Matsukevich Gambit has a 69.6% (90% CI: 65.3%-73.8%) win rate for white, based on 308 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Matsukevich Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Matsukevich Gambit has a 67.5% (90% CI: 64.6%-70.3%) win rate for white, based on 737 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Matsukevich Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Matsukevich Gambit has a 65.1% (90% CI: 61.0%-69.1%) win rate for white, based on 371 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Matsukevich Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Matsukevich Gambit has a 67.3% (90% CI: 64.6%-69.9%) win rate for white (846 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Matsukevich Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Matsukevich Gambit has a 65.2% (90% CI: 62.2%-68.1%) win rate for white (708 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

Is the Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Matsukevich Gambit a good opening?

The Alekhine Defense: Hunt Variation, Matsukevich Gambit is statistically favors white with a 66.1% (90% CI: 64.2%-68.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.