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Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation

155K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score50.4%Range (90% confident): 50.2% – 50.6%Based on 155K games
0%50.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.2% – 50.6%
Outcome Distribution
48.3%4.1%47.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.Bc4
Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation
Analyzen=155K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.1%

What is the Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation has a 50.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.2% and 50.6%), based on 155K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 8.4% · Bullet best · Classical worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 49% → 55%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 48.6% win rate (3,834 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.9% win rate (8,152 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.0% win rate (15,416 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.1% win rate (26,291 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.1% win rate (30,901 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.6% win rate (26,900 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.1% win rate (23,142 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.8% win rate (15,612 games)
  • 2500+: 55.4% win rate (4,266 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (71%), worst in Classical (42%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 70.7% win rate (19 games)
  • Bullet: 50.6% win rate (43,261 games)
  • Blitz: 47.7% win rate (88,090 games)
  • Rapid: 46.6% win rate (22,173 games)
  • Classical: 42.2% win rate (971 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 46.7% expected score (1,059 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (2,150 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 52.7% expected score (622 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (2,241 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (4,466 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 53.2% expected score (1,424 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 52.5% expected score (19 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (4,117 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (8,655 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.0% expected score (2,560 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 48.2% expected score (81 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (6,520 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (15,288 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.6% expected score (4,260 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 43.4% expected score (218 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (7,115 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.7% expected score (17,455 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 46.9% expected score (5,952 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 45.0% expected score (377 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 90.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (6,587 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (15,337 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.6% expected score (4,773 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 43.2% expected score (197 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (6,847 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (14,450 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.4% expected score (1,775 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 40.8% expected score (69 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 56.1% expected score (5,737 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.3% expected score (9,097 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.3% expected score (771 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 73.6% expected score (7 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 59.7% expected score (3,038 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 55.4% expected score (1,192 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 71.3% expected score (36 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Alekhine Defense
50.7%
Variations (5)
Alekhine Defense: Brooklyn Variation
50.9%
Alekhine Defense: Brooklyn Variation, Everglades Variation
53.3%
Alekhine Defense: Buckley Attack
49.7%
Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation
47.4%
Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation, Karpov Variation
47.5%
Analyze Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation win rate?

The Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation has a 48.3% (90% CI: 48.1%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 155K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation perform best?

The Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 55.4% win rate for white (4.3K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (50.6%) outperforms Classical (42.2%) by 8.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation?

The Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation has a sharpness score of 95.9 (very decisive), meaning 95.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.2%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 3.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.0%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 8.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.3%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation has a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.6%-47.6%) win rate for white, based on 26K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation has a 46.1% (90% CI: 45.7%-46.6%) win rate for white, based on 31K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation has a 46.6% (90% CI: 46.1%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 27K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 23K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation has a 52.8% (90% CI: 52.2%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation has a 55.4% (90% CI: 54.2%-56.7%) win rate for white, based on 4.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 6.2% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.2%-51.0%) win rate for white (43K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation has a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.5%-48.0%) win rate for white (88K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation has a 46.6% (90% CI: 46.0%-47.1%) win rate for white (22K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation has a 42.2% (90% CI: 39.6%-44.8%) win rate for white (971 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

Is the Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation a good opening?

The Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation is statistically balanced with a 48.3% (90% CI: 48.1%-48.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.