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Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Fianchetto Variation

161K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score47.4%Range (90% confident): 47.2% – 47.6%Based on 161K games
0%47.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.2% – 47.6%
Outcome Distribution
45.4%3.8%50.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...g6
Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Fianchetto Variation
Analyzen=161K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.8%

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Fianchetto Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Fianchetto Variation has a 47.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 47.2% and 47.6%), based on 161K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 44% → 52%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 44.0% win rate (86 games)
  • 1000-1199: 53.4% win rate (344 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.1% win rate (1,650 games)
  • 1400-1599: 44.0% win rate (6,788 games)
  • 1600-1799: 44.2% win rate (20,865 games)
  • 1800-1999: 43.5% win rate (46,654 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.2% win rate (44,512 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.0% win rate (31,004 games)
  • 2500+: 51.8% win rate (8,718 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (51%), worst in Blitz (45%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 51.2% win rate (19 games)
  • Bullet: 45.8% win rate (76,303 games)
  • Blitz: 45.1% win rate (75,916 games)
  • Rapid: 45.5% win rate (8,074 games)
  • Classical: 50.1% win rate (309 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199——
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 44.2% expected score (58 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 43.0% expected score (20 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 67.7% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (229 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 60.7% expected score (97 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 60.3% expected score (18 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 44.4% expected score (1,098 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (481 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 57.4% expected score (66 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 43.2% expected score (3,896 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.1% expected score (2,685 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.0% expected score (197 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 44.8% expected score (8,344 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 45.7% expected score (11,365 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (1,100 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 63.6% expected score (50 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 45.1% expected score (17,072 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 45.0% expected score (26,291 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.0% expected score (3,136 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 52.6% expected score (152 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.6% expected score (20,020 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (22,015 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.6% expected score (2,402 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.7% expected score (75 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (18,488 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (11,392 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (1,104 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 66.3% expected score (20 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (7,098 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.7% expected score (1,570 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 56.6% expected score (44 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 63.3% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Alekhine Defense
50.7%
Variations (5)
Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation
48.3%
Alekhine Defense: Brooklyn Variation
50.9%
Alekhine Defense: Brooklyn Variation, Everglades Variation
53.3%
Alekhine Defense: Buckley Attack
49.7%
Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation
47.4%
Analyze Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Fianchetto Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Fianchetto Variation win rate?

The Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Fianchetto Variation has a 45.4% (90% CI: 45.2%-45.6%) win rate for white, based on 161K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Fianchetto Variation perform best?

The Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Fianchetto Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 51.8% win rate for white (8.7K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Fianchetto Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (45.8%) outperforms Rapid (45.5%) by 0.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Fianchetto Variation?

The Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Fianchetto Variation has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Fianchetto Variation has a 53.4% (90% CI: 49.0%-57.8%) win rate for white, based on 344 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 0.4% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Fianchetto Variation has a 46.1% (90% CI: 44.1%-48.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 0.9% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Fianchetto Variation has a 44.0% (90% CI: 43.0%-44.9%) win rate for white, based on 6.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Fianchetto Variation has a 44.2% (90% CI: 43.6%-44.7%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Fianchetto Variation has a 43.5% (90% CI: 43.1%-43.8%) win rate for white, based on 47K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Fianchetto Variation has a 45.2% (90% CI: 44.8%-45.6%) win rate for white, based on 45K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Fianchetto Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.5%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 31K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Fianchetto Variation has a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.0%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 8.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Fianchetto Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Fianchetto Variation has a 45.8% (90% CI: 45.5%-46.1%) win rate for white (76K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Fianchetto Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Fianchetto Variation has a 45.1% (90% CI: 44.8%-45.3%) win rate for white (76K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Fianchetto Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Fianchetto Variation has a 45.5% (90% CI: 44.6%-46.4%) win rate for white (8.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Fianchetto Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Fianchetto Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 45.4%-54.7%) win rate for white (309 Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.8%.

Is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Fianchetto Variation a good opening?

The Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Fianchetto Variation is slightly favors black with a 45.4% (90% CI: 45.2%-45.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.