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Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation

96K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score49.2%Range (90% confident): 48.9% – 49.5%Based on 96K games
0%49.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.9% – 49.5%
Outcome Distribution
47.1%4.1%48.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...Bf5
Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation
Analyzen=96K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.1%

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation has a 49.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 48.9% and 49.5%), based on 96K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 42% → 53%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 41.8% win rate (38 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.2% win rate (357 games)
  • 1200-1399: 45.5% win rate (1,776 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.5% win rate (6,948 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.3% win rate (19,589 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.3% win rate (30,880 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.2% win rate (21,634 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.1% win rate (11,521 games)
  • 2500+: 52.7% win rate (2,838 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (51%), worst in UltraBullet (9%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 9.1% win rate (4 games)
  • Bullet: 47.4% win rate (33,358 games)
  • Blitz: 46.9% win rate (53,376 games)
  • Rapid: 46.9% win rate (8,429 games)
  • Classical: 50.7% win rate (414 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999———
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 31.8% expected score (26 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 64.9% expected score (12 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 44.8% expected score (228 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (114 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (13 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 46.1% expected score (1,071 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 46.6% expected score (650 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 60.1% expected score (53 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.0% expected score (2,909 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (3,732 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.0% expected score (274 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 60.8% expected score (31 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (5,956 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (12,127 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (1,376 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 47.3% expected score (130 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.9% expected score (9,512 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (17,656 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.2% expected score (3,537 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 53.7% expected score (175 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (7,121 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.5% expected score (11,925 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.5% expected score (2,533 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 60.6% expected score (55 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (4,714 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (6,204 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 52.8% expected score (597 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (1,821 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 60.8% expected score (956 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 67.9% expected score (46 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (15 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Alekhine Defense
50.7%
Variations (5)
Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation
48.3%
Alekhine Defense: Brooklyn Variation
50.9%
Alekhine Defense: Brooklyn Variation, Everglades Variation
53.3%
Alekhine Defense: Buckley Attack
49.7%
Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation
47.4%
Analyze Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation win rate?

The Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation has a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.8%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 96K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation perform best?

The Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 52.7% win rate for white (2.8K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (47.4%) outperforms Rapid (46.9%) by 0.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation?

The Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation has a sharpness score of 95.9 (very decisive), meaning 95.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation has a 46.2% (90% CI: 41.9%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 357 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 1.0% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation has a 45.5% (90% CI: 43.5%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 46.5%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 6.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation has a 46.3% (90% CI: 45.7%-46.9%) win rate for white, based on 20K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation has a 46.3% (90% CI: 45.9%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 31K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation has a 47.2% (90% CI: 46.6%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 22K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.3%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation has a 52.7% (90% CI: 51.2%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 2.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 9.1% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation has a 47.4% (90% CI: 46.9%-47.8%) win rate for white (33K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.6%-47.3%) win rate for white (53K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.0%-47.8%) win rate for white (8.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 46.6%-54.7%) win rate for white (414 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.1%.

Is the Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation a good opening?

The Alekhine Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Trifunovic Variation is statistically balanced with a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.8%-47.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.