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Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense

827K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score52.5%Range (90% confident): 52.4% – 52.5%Based on 827K games
0%52.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.4% – 52.5%
Outcome Distribution
50.3%4.3%45.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...d6
Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense
Analyzen=827K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.3%

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense has a 52.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.4% and 52.5%), based on 827K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~47%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.4% win rate (43,410 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.3% win rate (72,496 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.3% win rate (110,619 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.1% win rate (132,055 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.9% win rate (139,441 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.2% win rate (142,954 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.2% win rate (104,574 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.5% win rate (65,053 games)
  • 2500+: 48.1% win rate (16,625 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (57%), worst in Bullet (50%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 56.5% win rate (148 games)
  • Bullet: 50.0% win rate (182,273 games)
  • Blitz: 50.2% win rate (446,793 games)
  • Rapid: 50.6% win rate (188,090 games)
  • Classical: 50.5% win rate (9,923 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (12 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (10,764 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (19,107 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 47.2% expected score (13,345 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 38.0% expected score (182 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 58.2% expected score (41 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (19,473 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (36,352 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.2% expected score (16,153 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 46.4% expected score (477 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 54.2% expected score (46 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (26,076 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (57,307 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.6% expected score (26,177 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.9% expected score (1,013 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 56.9% expected score (35 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (28,594 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (66,421 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.9% expected score (34,812 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 54.0% expected score (2,193 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (26,622 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (75,726 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (34,394 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 53.6% expected score (2,692 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (24,020 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (83,577 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.8% expected score (33,089 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 56.3% expected score (2,262 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (20,779 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (61,902 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 53.9% expected score (21,002 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 53.3% expected score (890 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (17,769 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (38,751 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.2% expected score (8,371 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 59.8% expected score (162 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.6% expected score (8,176 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 55.3% expected score (7,650 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 63.4% expected score (747 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 63.1% expected score (52 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Ruy Lopez
51.9%
Variations (5)
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense
55.9%
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit
53.0%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Anderssen Variation
48.6%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Berlin Wall
12.2%
Continuations (10)
Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Alapin's Defense Deferred
59.2%
Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Anderssen Variation
51.2%
Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Arkhangelsk Variation
50.3%
Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Bayreuth Variation
49.6%
Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Caro Variation
54.2%
Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Classical Defense Deferred
50.3%
Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Cozio Defense
48.4%
Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Duras Variation
48.1%
Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Fianchetto Defense Deferred
48.1%
Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Graz Variation
51.4%
Analyze Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense win rate?

The Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense has a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 827K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense perform best?

The Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 51.3% win rate for white (111K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (50.6%) outperforms Classical (50.5%) by 0.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense?

The Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense has a sharpness score of 95.7 (very decisive), meaning 95.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense has a 47.4% (90% CI: 47.0%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 43K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense has a 51.3% (90% CI: 51.0%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 72K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense has a 51.3% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 111K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense has a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 132K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.7%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 139K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense has a 50.2% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 143K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 105K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.2%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 65K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 7.0% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense has a 48.1% (90% CI: 47.4%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 12.5% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense has a 56.5% (90% CI: 49.8%-63.1%) win rate for white (148 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.3%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.2%) win rate for white (182K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense has a 50.2% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.3%) win rate for white (447K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.4%-50.8%) win rate for white (188K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense has a 50.5% (90% CI: 49.7%-51.4%) win rate for white (9.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.9%.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense a good opening?

The Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense is statistically favors white with a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.