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King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit Accepted

386K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

55.8%

45%60%
Floor55.7%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 55.9%.

Measured over 386K games at this level and clock.

Play Thiswins clearly more often than it loses at this level

A strong choice for White at this level and clock.

Outcomes for White

Draw 3.8 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 386K games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
386K
Best context
59.9% at 1400-1599 Classical
Worst context
53.9% at 1600-1799 Bullet
Average game length
32 moves
Games that end decisively
96.2%
Draws
3.8%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 91.4 · Trap factor: +16.1 · 386K games

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 10.0% · Classical best · UltraBullet worst

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 51.0% at 0-999, 55.8% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (16 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 55.3% expected score (2,325 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 55.5% expected score (2,141 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 59.5% expected score (561 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 32.9% expected score (16 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 57.0% expected score (5,189 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 56.6% expected score (7,634 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 57.7% expected score (1,794 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 64.9% expected score (22 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 42.4% expected score (18 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 56.2% expected score (11,312 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 56.4% expected score (22,567 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 57.3% expected score (5,345 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 60.6% expected score (149 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (26 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (17,298 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 56.1% expected score (54,228 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 56.6% expected score (13,912 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 59.9% expected score (504 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 53.5% expected score (71 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (18,702 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 55.4% expected score (75,801 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 56.3% expected score (25,449 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 59.5% expected score (1,135 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (13,758 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (54,153 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 57.7% expected score (20,798 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 58.3% expected score (625 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (6,876 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 56.4% expected score (14,437 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 58.4% expected score (4,808 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 68.3% expected score (97 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 55.3% expected score (2,075 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 59.4% expected score (1,748 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 62.9% expected score (341 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 63.4% expected score (196 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 48.3% expected score (27 games)

Related Openings

Variations (5)
King's Gambit Declined: Queen's Knight Defense
50.8%
King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation
49.4%
King's Gambit Declined: Petrov's Defense
50.6%
King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack
48.5%
King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Staunton Line
45.6%
Analyze King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit Accepted PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit Accepted scores 55.8% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 55.7% and 55.9% — from 386K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
386K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit Accepted win rate?

Playing the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit Accepted, White wins 53.9%, draws 3.8% and loses 42.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.8%. It rests on 386K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit Accepted perform best?

The King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit Accepted performs best for White at 2200-2499, with an Expected Score of 57.7% (4.2K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit Accepted better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit Accepted scores higher in Rapid: an Expected Score of 55.7% in Blitz (233K games) against 57.1% in Rapid (73K games).

How sharp is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit Accepted?

The King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit Accepted has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit Accepted win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, White wins 54.5%, draws 2.5% and loses 43.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.8%. It rests on 5.0K Lichess games, which average 23 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit Accepted win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, White wins 55.8%, draws 2.1% and loses 42.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.9%. It rests on 15K Lichess games, which average 26 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit Accepted win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, White wins 55.1%, draws 2.6% and loses 42.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.4%. It rests on 39K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit Accepted win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, White wins 54.3%, draws 3.1% and loses 42.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.9%. It rests on 86K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit Accepted win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, White wins 53.4%, draws 3.9% and loses 42.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.4%. It rests on 121K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit Accepted win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, White wins 53.3%, draws 4.6% and loses 42.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.6%. It rests on 89K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit Accepted win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, White wins 53.7%, draws 5.2% and loses 41.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.3%. It rests on 26K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit Accepted win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, White wins 55.1%, draws 5.2% and loses 39.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 57.7%. It rests on 4.2K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit Accepted win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, White wins 57.7%, draws 7.8% and loses 34.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 61.6%. It rests on 223 Lichess games, which average 38 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit Accepted win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet, White wins 47.0%, draws 0.9% and loses 52.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.5%. It rests on 157 Lichess games.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit Accepted win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, White wins 53.5%, draws 2.4% and loses 44.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.8%. It rests on 78K Lichess games.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit Accepted win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, White wins 53.7%, draws 4.0% and loses 42.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.7%. It rests on 233K Lichess games.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit Accepted win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, White wins 54.9%, draws 4.4% and loses 40.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 57.1%. It rests on 73K Lichess games.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit Accepted win rate in Classical?

In Classical, White wins 57.0%, draws 5.6% and loses 37.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 59.8%. It rests on 2.5K Lichess games.

Is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit Accepted a good opening?

The King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit Accepted is good for White. Across all ratings, White wins 53.9% of its games and loses 42.3%. It performs best at 2200-2499. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.