14K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit has a 52.2% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 51.5% and 52.9%), based on 14K Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Declines with rating: 49% → 37%
Best in Bullet (54%), worst in UltraBullet (39%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | ||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit has a 46.6% (90% CI: 45.9%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 14K rated games from Lichess.
The King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 48.6% win rate for white (2.6K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Blitz (47.3%) outperforms Bullet (43.8%) by 3.5%. Choose your time control wisely.
The King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.4 (very decisive), meaning 97.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit has a 47.6% (90% CI: 40.1%-55.2%) win rate for white, based on 115 Lichess games. Average game length is 20 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit has a 44.8% (90% CI: 40.6%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 375 Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 1.5% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit has a 48.1% (90% CI: 45.5%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.0%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit has a 46.9% (90% CI: 45.6%-48.2%) win rate for white, based on 4.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit has a 44.8% (90% CI: 43.5%-46.2%) win rate for white, based on 3.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit has a 46.8% (90% CI: 44.6%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit has a 42.2% (90% CI: 38.7%-45.7%) win rate for white, based on 545 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit has a 43.8% (90% CI: 42.3%-45.3%) win rate for white (2.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.
In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit has a 47.3% (90% CI: 46.4%-48.2%) win rate for white (8.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.
In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit has a 47.1% (90% CI: 45.4%-48.7%) win rate for white (2.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.5%.
The King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Miles Gambit is slightly favors black with a 46.6% (90% CI: 45.9%-47.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.