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King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Staunton Line

379K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Black Expected Score53.0%Range (90% confident): 52.9% – 53.2%Based on 379K games
0%53.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.9% – 53.2%
Outcome Distribution
51.6%2.9%45.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...e4
King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Staunton Line
Analyzen=379K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.9%

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Staunton Line expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Staunton Line has a 53.0% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 52.9% and 53.2%), based on 379K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: +7.6% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 54% → 47%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 54.1% win rate (989 games)
  • 1000-1199: 52.2% win rate (3,603 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.4% win rate (12,397 games)
  • 1400-1599: 52.6% win rate (42,150 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.4% win rate (107,791 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.7% win rate (137,462 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.1% win rate (62,873 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.0% win rate (11,326 games)
  • 2500+: 46.5% win rate (458 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (57%), worst in Blitz (51%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 57.3% win rate (36 games)
  • Bullet: 52.1% win rate (75,261 games)
  • Blitz: 51.4% win rate (251,859 games)
  • Rapid: 51.5% win rate (50,433 games)
  • Classical: 53.9% win rate (1,460 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 54.3% expected score (550 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (334 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 58.6% expected score (104 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (1,788 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (1,484 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (325 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (5,052 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (6,278 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.2% expected score (1,042 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 69.6% expected score (24 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 67.4% expected score (10 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (11,698 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (26,305 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.9% expected score (4,014 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 53.6% expected score (123 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 46.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (18,410 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (74,714 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.4% expected score (14,027 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 56.2% expected score (629 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (20,135 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (94,804 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.6% expected score (21,942 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 54.6% expected score (578 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (12,727 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (41,830 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (8,214 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 57.8% expected score (102 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (4,533 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.2% expected score (6,030 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (759 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (368 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 43.3% expected score (80 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 36.7% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Variations (5)
King's Gambit Declined: Queen's Knight Defense
50.8%
King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation
49.4%
King's Gambit Declined: Petrov's Defense
50.6%
King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack
48.5%
King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit Accepted
53.9%
Analyze King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Staunton Line PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Staunton Line win rate?

The King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Staunton Line has a 45.6% (90% CI: 45.4%-45.7%) win rate for white, based on 379K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Staunton Line perform best?

The King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Staunton Line performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 48.7% win rate for white (11K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Staunton Line better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (46.1%) outperforms Classical (42.3%) by 3.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Staunton Line?

The King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Staunton Line has a sharpness score of 97.1 (very decisive), meaning 97.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Staunton Line win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Staunton Line has a 44.2% (90% CI: 41.6%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 989 Lichess games. Average game length is 22 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Staunton Line win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Staunton Line has a 46.5% (90% CI: 45.2%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 3.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 1.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Staunton Line win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Staunton Line has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.2%-47.6%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 1.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Staunton Line win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Staunton Line has a 45.4% (90% CI: 45.0%-45.8%) win rate for white, based on 42K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Staunton Line win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Staunton Line has a 45.1% (90% CI: 44.8%-45.3%) win rate for white, based on 108K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Staunton Line win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Staunton Line has a 45.2% (90% CI: 45.0%-45.5%) win rate for white, based on 137K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Staunton Line win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Staunton Line has a 46.3% (90% CI: 46.0%-46.7%) win rate for white, based on 63K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Staunton Line win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Staunton Line has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.0%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Staunton Line win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Staunton Line has a 48.4% (90% CI: 44.6%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 458 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Staunton Line win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Staunton Line has a 46.1% (90% CI: 45.8%-46.4%) win rate for white (75K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.8%.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Staunton Line win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Staunton Line has a 45.5% (90% CI: 45.4%-45.7%) win rate for white (252K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Staunton Line win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Staunton Line has a 44.9% (90% CI: 44.5%-45.3%) win rate for white (50K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Staunton Line win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Staunton Line has a 42.3% (90% CI: 40.1%-44.4%) win rate for white (1.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

Is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Staunton Line a good opening?

The King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Staunton Line is slightly favors black with a 45.6% (90% CI: 45.4%-45.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.