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King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit

305K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Black Expected Score58.8%Range (90% confident): 58.7% – 59.0%Based on 305K games
0%58.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 58.7% – 59.0%
Outcome Distribution
57.3%3.1%39.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
2...d5
King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit
Analyzen=305K
Avg Length28 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.1%

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit has a 58.8% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 58.7% and 59.0%), based on 305K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: +34.7% · Breakpoint: Never

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 93.3 · Trap factor: -20.5 · n=305K

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 8.6% · UltraBullet best · Classical worst

Black Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 53% → 65%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 52.5% win rate (11,830 games)
  • 1000-1199: 52.8% win rate (20,582 games)
  • 1200-1399: 55.4% win rate (35,585 games)
  • 1400-1599: 57.1% win rate (60,128 games)
  • 1600-1799: 58.2% win rate (78,684 games)
  • 1800-1999: 58.4% win rate (68,088 games)
  • 2000-2199: 59.3% win rate (25,027 games)
  • 2200-2499: 60.9% win rate (4,856 games)
  • 2500+: 65.2% win rate (320 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (61%), worst in UltraBullet (55%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 55.1% win rate (1,409 games)
  • Bullet: 56.1% win rate (82,774 games)
  • Blitz: 57.6% win rate (166,635 games)
  • Rapid: 57.9% win rate (52,693 games)
  • Classical: 60.6% win rate (1,589 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (52 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 55.1% expected score (3,276 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (5,999 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 54.6% expected score (2,478 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 61.3% expected score (25 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 58.8% expected score (78 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.2% expected score (5,753 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 54.6% expected score (10,410 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 53.3% expected score (4,269 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 59.6% expected score (72 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 59.7% expected score (266 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 56.3% expected score (9,946 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 57.0% expected score (18,426 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 56.1% expected score (6,748 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 54.8% expected score (199 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 56.9% expected score (364 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 56.1% expected score (14,353 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 59.0% expected score (34,120 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 59.9% expected score (10,814 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 63.4% expected score (477 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 55.9% expected score (374 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 57.4% expected score (17,660 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 60.0% expected score (46,208 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 61.7% expected score (13,893 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 61.8% expected score (549 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 49.1% expected score (218 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 58.0% expected score (17,669 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 60.5% expected score (38,530 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 62.0% expected score (11,435 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 70.6% expected score (236 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 51.4% expected score (35 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 58.8% expected score (10,270 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 62.5% expected score (11,842 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 63.5% expected score (2,851 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 76.3% expected score (29 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 35.4% expected score (19 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 60.9% expected score (3,560 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 69.8% expected score (1,071 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 64.8% expected score (204 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 35.7% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 66.8% expected score (287 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 69.7% expected score (29 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Variations (5)
King's Gambit Declined: Queen's Knight Defense
50.8%
King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation
49.4%
King's Gambit Declined: Petrov's Defense
50.6%
King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack
48.5%
King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit Accepted
53.9%
Continuations (10)
King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack
48.5%
King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Staunton Line
45.6%
King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit
48.5%
King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Modern Transfer
44.2%
King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Milner-Barry Variation
48.8%
King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Nimzowitsch-Marshall Countergambit
39.5%
King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Hinrichsen Gambit
48.2%
King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit Accepted
48.3%
King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Rubinstein Variation
46.2%
King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Anderssen Attack
43.9%
Analyze King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit win rate?

The King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit has a 39.7% (90% CI: 39.5%-39.8%) win rate for white, based on 305K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit perform best?

The King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 44.3% win rate for white (21K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (41.7%) outperforms Classical (34.8%) by 6.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit?

The King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit has a sharpness score of 96.9 (very decisive), meaning 96.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 28 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit has a 43.7% (90% CI: 43.0%-44.5%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit has a 44.3% (90% CI: 43.8%-44.9%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit has a 42.1% (90% CI: 41.6%-42.5%) win rate for white, based on 36K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit has a 40.1% (90% CI: 39.8%-40.5%) win rate for white, based on 60K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit has a 38.8% (90% CI: 38.5%-39.1%) win rate for white, based on 79K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit has a 38.3% (90% CI: 37.9%-38.6%) win rate for white, based on 68K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit has a 37.1% (90% CI: 36.6%-37.6%) win rate for white, based on 25K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit has a 35.2% (90% CI: 34.0%-36.3%) win rate for white, based on 4.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit has a 30.6% (90% CI: 26.5%-34.9%) win rate for white, based on 320 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit has a 43.4% (90% CI: 41.3%-45.6%) win rate for white (1.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.5%.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit has a 41.7% (90% CI: 41.4%-42.0%) win rate for white (83K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.2%.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit has a 39.1% (90% CI: 38.9%-39.3%) win rate for white (167K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit has a 38.4% (90% CI: 38.0%-38.7%) win rate for white (53K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit has a 34.8% (90% CI: 32.8%-36.8%) win rate for white (1.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

Is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit a good opening?

The King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit is slightly favors black with a 39.7% (90% CI: 39.5%-39.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.