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King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit

130K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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6.Qe2
Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

50.7%

45%55%
Floor50.5%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 51.0%.

Measured over 130K games at this level and clock.

Playablewins about as often as it loses at this level

Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.

Outcomes for White

Draw 4.3 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 130K games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
130K
Best context
56.0% at 2200-2499 Rapid
Worst context
48.8% at 1600-1799 Bullet
Average game length
32 moves
Games that end decisively
95.7%
Draws
4.3%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +6.2% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 47.5% at 0-999, 51.0% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 42.4% expected score (130 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 61.2% expected score (61 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 56.5% expected score (14 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (482 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (239 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 54.8% expected score (40 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (1,069 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (1,011 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (153 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 32.6% expected score (10 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (3,478 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (4,829 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (642 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 61.1% expected score (21 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (6,869 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (18,526 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.1% expected score (2,713 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 42.8% expected score (116 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (9,091 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (34,747 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.0% expected score (6,099 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 48.7% expected score (259 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (6,968 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (19,775 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.1% expected score (3,645 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 59.9% expected score (100 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (3,372 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.8% expected score (4,544 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.0% expected score (599 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 59.1% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (395 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 58.2% expected score (165 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 42.4% expected score (5 games)

Related Openings

Variations (5)
King's Gambit Declined: Queen's Knight Defense
50.8%
King's Gambit Declined: Classical Variation
49.4%
King's Gambit Declined: Petrov's Defense
50.6%
King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Blackburne Attack
48.5%
King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit Accepted
53.9%
Continuations (4)
King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit, Morphy Defense
38.7%
King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit, Old Line
47.1%
King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit, Main Line
48.6%
King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit, Keres Variation
51.3%
Analyze King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit scores 50.7% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 50.5% and 51.0% — from 130K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
130K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit win rate?

Playing the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit, White wins 48.5%, draws 4.3% and loses 47.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.7%. It rests on 130K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit perform best?

The King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit performs best for White at 2200-2499, with an Expected Score of 54.0% (8.5K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit scores higher in Rapid: an Expected Score of 50.8% in Blitz (84K games) against 52.1% in Rapid (14K games).

How sharp is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit?

The King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit has a sharpness score of 95.7 (very decisive), meaning 95.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, White wins 48.0%, draws 1.7% and loses 50.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.8%. It rests on 206 Lichess games, which average 22 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, White wins 49.0%, draws 1.0% and loses 50.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.5%. It rests on 763 Lichess games, which average 23 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, White wins 49.9%, draws 2.0% and loses 48.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.9%. It rests on 2.2K Lichess games, which average 26 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, White wins 49.0%, draws 2.6% and loses 48.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.3%. It rests on 9.0K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, White wins 48.0%, draws 3.6% and loses 48.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.8%. It rests on 28K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, White wins 47.9%, draws 4.4% and loses 47.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.1%. It rests on 50K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, White wins 49.1%, draws 5.2% and loses 45.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.7%. It rests on 30K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, White wins 51.1%, draws 5.8% and loses 43.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.0%. It rests on 8.5K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, White wins 50.9%, draws 6.1% and loses 43.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.0%. It rests on 565 Lichess games, which average 37 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, White wins 48.7%, draws 2.7% and loses 48.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.1%. It rests on 32K Lichess games.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, White wins 48.4%, draws 4.7% and loses 46.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.8%. It rests on 84K Lichess games.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, White wins 49.3%, draws 5.6% and loses 45.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.1%. It rests on 14K Lichess games.

What is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical, White wins 46.1%, draws 7.1% and loses 46.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.7%. It rests on 511 Lichess games.

Is the King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit a good opening?

The King's Gambit Declined: Falkbeer Countergambit, Charousek Gambit is about level. Across all ratings, White wins 48.5% of its games and loses 47.2%. It performs best at 2200-2499. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.