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Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation

2.0M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.1%Range (90% confident): 53.1% – 53.2%Based on 2.0M games
0%53.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.1% – 53.2%
Outcome Distribution
50.7%4.8%44.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...Bxc3
Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation
Analyzen=2.0M
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.8%

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation has a 53.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.1% and 53.2%), based on 2.0M Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 49% → 51%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 48.6% win rate (188,031 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.7% win rate (304,615 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.4% win rate (400,453 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.3% win rate (411,209 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.0% win rate (334,442 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.9% win rate (213,083 games)
  • 2000-2199: 52.7% win rate (97,170 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.7% win rate (39,440 games)
  • 2500+: 51.1% win rate (9,222 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (55%), worst in Classical (50%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 54.9% win rate (1,682 games)
  • Bullet: 51.2% win rate (521,979 games)
  • Blitz: 50.7% win rate (1,009,135 games)
  • Rapid: 50.1% win rate (446,396 games)
  • Classical: 49.7% win rate (18,473 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.4% expected score (278 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (48,461 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (79,733 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.9% expected score (58,864 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 47.9% expected score (695 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 55.4% expected score (399 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (81,291 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.3% expected score (147,656 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.8% expected score (73,531 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 51.7% expected score (1,738 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 57.0% expected score (348 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (100,005 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (201,128 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 52.9% expected score (95,432 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 51.0% expected score (3,540 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 53.4% expected score (327 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (97,726 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (212,611 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (94,199 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 51.3% expected score (6,346 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 56.1% expected score (147 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (79,152 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (181,726 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (69,431 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 55.8% expected score (3,986 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (61 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.3% expected score (55,174 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (117,250 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 55.0% expected score (38,763 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 56.9% expected score (1,835 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 60.6% expected score (41 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (34,782 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 55.8% expected score (48,807 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 57.5% expected score (13,242 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 60.9% expected score (298 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 58.6% expected score (51 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 55.7% expected score (18,918 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 56.1% expected score (17,606 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 59.5% expected score (2,832 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (33 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 69.1% expected score (30 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (6,470 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.1% expected score (2,618 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 57.8% expected score (102 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Four Knights Game
47.3%
Variations (5)
Four Knights Game: Glek System
47.9%
Four Knights Game: Gunsberg Variation
49.7%
Four Knights Game: Halloween Gambit
52.7%
Four Knights Game: Halloween Gambit, Plasma Variation
54.1%
Four Knights Game: Italian Variation
48.7%
Continuations (10)
Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Bardeleben Variation
42.8%
Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Classical Variation
49.0%
Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Double Spanish
49.6%
Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Gunsberg Counterattack
28.8%
Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Janowski Variation
50.0%
Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation
49.8%
Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Ranken Variation
54.0%
Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation
49.9%
Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation Accepted
47.2%
Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation, Henneberger Variation
50.1%
Analyze Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation win rate?

The Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.6%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 2.0M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation perform best?

The Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 52.7% win rate for white (97K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (54.9%) outperforms Classical (49.7%) by 5.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation?

The Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation has a sharpness score of 95.2 (very decisive), meaning 95.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.4%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 188K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.6%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 305K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 50.3%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 400K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 411K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 334K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.7%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 213K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation has a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.4%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 97K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation has a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.3%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 39K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.9% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.2%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 9.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 8.4% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation has a 54.9% (90% CI: 52.9%-56.8%) win rate for white (1.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.9%.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.3%) win rate for white (522K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.6%-50.8%) win rate for white (1.0M Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.2%) win rate for white (446K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.8%.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.0%-50.3%) win rate for white (18K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.3%.

Is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation a good opening?

The Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation is statistically favors white with a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.6%-50.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.