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Analyzer

Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Double Spanish

912K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Key Finding

Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Double Spanish leaves Black at 47.8% — pick a better weapon.

The minimum advantage of -4.6% means this line underperforms at the selected level.

You play
Tough Sell
Rating
Time
Black Expected Score47.8%Based on 912K gamesWin + ½×draw — predicts rating gain better than win rate
40%47.8%55%
Range (90% confident): 47.7% – 47.9%
Min adv-4.6%
ContextAll ratings · All speeds · n=912K
Outcome Distribution
6.d3
Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Double Spanish
Analyzen=912K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.2%

Sharpness — share of games that end decisively

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Double Spanish expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Double Spanish has a 47.8% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 47.7% and 47.9%), based on 912K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 45% → 40%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 45.2% win rate (125,126 games)
  • 1000-1199: 45.0% win rate (160,762 games)
  • 1200-1399: 45.4% win rate (185,262 games)
  • 1400-1599: 45.7% win rate (160,817 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.4% win rate (113,945 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.2% win rate (77,912 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.0% win rate (51,660 games)
  • 2200-2499: 43.2% win rate (29,979 games)
  • 2500+: 40.1% win rate (6,964 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (49%), worst in Classical (44%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 48.5% win rate (721 games)
  • Bullet: 46.4% win rate (272,359 games)
  • Blitz: 44.9% win rate (412,284 games)
  • Rapid: 44.3% win rate (216,913 games)
  • Classical: 43.9% win rate (10,150 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter — click it again to clear. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 48.7% expected score (110 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (25,103 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (44,219 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 48.0% expected score (54,952 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 48.6% expected score (742 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 48.5% expected score (162 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (40,387 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.3% expected score (72,707 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 46.9% expected score (45,906 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 46.8% expected score (1,600 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 54.9% expected score (131 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (49,911 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (86,025 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 46.9% expected score (46,750 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 47.0% expected score (2,445 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 51.6% expected score (125 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (47,497 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (75,335 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.5% expected score (34,736 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 46.0% expected score (3,124 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 41.5% expected score (75 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.0% expected score (37,738 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.6% expected score (55,522 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.5% expected score (19,136 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 49.2% expected score (1,474 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 36.9% expected score (29 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.5% expected score (27,611 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (40,182 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.7% expected score (9,471 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 49.3% expected score (619 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 45.7% expected score (33 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.9% expected score (21,611 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.7% expected score (25,490 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (4,400 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 45.3% expected score (126 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 68.5% expected score (31 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (16,850 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 46.1% expected score (11,560 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 44.7% expected score (1,518 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 54.7% expected score (20 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 55.7% expected score (25 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 44.3% expected score (5,651 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 43.1% expected score (1,244 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 41.2% expected score (44 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Four Knights Game
47.3%
Variations (5)
Four Knights Game: Italian Variation
48.7%
Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation Accepted
51.9%
Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation
50.7%
Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Classical Variation
49.0%
Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation
52.8%
Analyze Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Double Spanish PositionsGet move-by-move win rates at your level with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Double Spanish win rate?

The Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Double Spanish has a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.6%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 912K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Double Spanish perform best?

The Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Double Spanish performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 51.9% win rate for white (7.0K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Double Spanish better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (50.0%) outperforms UltraBullet (48.5%) by 1.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Double Spanish?

The Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Double Spanish has a sharpness score of 94.8 (decisive), meaning 94.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Double Spanish win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Double Spanish has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.4%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 125K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Double Spanish win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Double Spanish has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 161K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Double Spanish win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Double Spanish has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 185K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Double Spanish win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Double Spanish has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.5%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 161K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Double Spanish win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Double Spanish has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.4%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 114K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Double Spanish win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Double Spanish has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.3%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 78K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Double Spanish win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Double Spanish has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.8%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 52K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Double Spanish win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Double Spanish has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 30K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.8% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Double Spanish win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Double Spanish has a 51.9% (90% CI: 50.9%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 7.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 7.9% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Double Spanish win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Double Spanish has a 48.5% (90% CI: 45.5%-51.6%) win rate for white (721 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Double Spanish win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Double Spanish has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.2%) win rate for white (272K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Double Spanish win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Double Spanish has a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.5%-49.7%) win rate for white (412K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Double Spanish win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Double Spanish has a 49.3% (90% CI: 49.1%-49.4%) win rate for white (217K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.5%.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Double Spanish win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Double Spanish has a 49.4% (90% CI: 48.6%-50.3%) win rate for white (10K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.7%.

Is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Double Spanish a good opening?

The Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Double Spanish is statistically favors white with a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.6%-49.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.