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Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation

20K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.5%Range (90% confident): 53.0% – 54.1%Based on 20K games
0%53.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.0% – 54.1%
Outcome Distribution
49.8%7.4%42.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.Bxc6
Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation
Analyzen=20K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness93%
Draw Rate7.4%

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation has a 53.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.0% and 54.1%), based on 20K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 51% → 54%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.5% win rate (2,192 games)
  • 1000-1199: 52.9% win rate (2,297 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.6% win rate (2,451 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.9% win rate (2,098 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.7% win rate (1,692 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.0% win rate (1,670 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.3% win rate (2,273 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.4% win rate (4,012 games)
  • 2500+: 54.4% win rate (1,280 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (52%), worst in UltraBullet (46%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 45.5% win rate (4 games)
  • Bullet: 51.5% win rate (4,444 games)
  • Blitz: 49.6% win rate (10,398 games)
  • Rapid: 49.0% win rate (4,590 games)
  • Classical: 47.0% win rate (529 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (272 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (687 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 54.2% expected score (1,169 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 52.3% expected score (64 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 56.8% expected score (432 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (921 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 58.3% expected score (787 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 58.3% expected score (156 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (467 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (1,092 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (759 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 52.3% expected score (133 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (394 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (951 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 54.1% expected score (668 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 51.8% expected score (83 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (401 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (909 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (350 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 42.5% expected score (32 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (417 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (915 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.0% expected score (297 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 52.4% expected score (41 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (535 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (1,507 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 40.3% expected score (219 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (12 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (971 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.0% expected score (2,710 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.6% expected score (323 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 55.3% expected score (8 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 60.1% expected score (555 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 60.0% expected score (706 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 60.3% expected score (18 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Four Knights Game
47.3%
Variations (5)
Four Knights Game: Glek System
47.9%
Four Knights Game: Gunsberg Variation
49.7%
Four Knights Game: Halloween Gambit
52.7%
Four Knights Game: Halloween Gambit, Plasma Variation
54.1%
Four Knights Game: Italian Variation
48.7%
Analyze Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation win rate?

The Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.2%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 20K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation perform best?

The Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 54.4% win rate for white (1.3K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.5%) outperforms Classical (47.0%) by 4.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation?

The Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation has a sharpness score of 92.6 (decisive), meaning 92.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 48.8%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation has a 52.9% (90% CI: 51.2%-54.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 6.4% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 47.9%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 2.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation has a 49.9% (90% CI: 48.1%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 47.8%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 45.9%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 6.9% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation has a 47.3% (90% CI: 45.6%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 7.4% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 47.1%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 4.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 10.0% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation has a 54.4% (90% CI: 52.1%-56.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 11.4% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 50.2%-52.7%) win rate for white (4.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.8%-50.4%) win rate for white (10K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.1%.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation has a 49.0% (90% CI: 47.8%-50.2%) win rate for white (4.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.9%.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation has a 47.0% (90% CI: 43.5%-50.6%) win rate for white (529 Lichess games). Draw rate is 12.2%.

Is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation a good opening?

The Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Nimzowitsch Variation is statistically favors white with a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.2%-50.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.