Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation, Henneberger Variation

48K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score52.9%Range (90% confident): 52.6% – 53.3%Based on 48K games
0%52.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.6% – 53.3%
Outcome Distribution
50.1%5.7%44.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.O-O
Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation, Henneberger Variation
Analyzen=48K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate5.7%

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation, Henneberger Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation, Henneberger Variation has a 52.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.6% and 53.3%), based on 48K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 48% → 52%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.9% win rate (2,788 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.8% win rate (4,540 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.3% win rate (4,763 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.0% win rate (4,394 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.6% win rate (4,165 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.6% win rate (5,828 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.6% win rate (8,001 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.7% win rate (9,835 games)
  • 2500+: 51.6% win rate (3,647 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (51%), worst in UltraBullet (44%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 43.9% win rate (27 games)
  • Bullet: 51.0% win rate (13,348 games)
  • Blitz: 50.2% win rate (25,625 games)
  • Rapid: 48.5% win rate (8,561 games)
  • Classical: 44.2% win rate (400 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (481 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.7% expected score (1,377 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.4% expected score (918 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (804 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (2,342 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.0% expected score (1,359 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 36.0% expected score (34 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (754 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (2,382 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.1% expected score (1,566 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.9% expected score (59 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (783 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (2,134 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.2% expected score (1,364 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 46.5% expected score (111 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (1,006 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (2,198 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.7% expected score (897 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (62 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (1,316 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (3,512 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.7% expected score (918 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 48.2% expected score (82 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 20.6% expected score (7 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (1,923 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.2% expected score (5,318 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.9% expected score (721 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 45.5% expected score (32 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (3,849 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.5% expected score (5,186 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 48.9% expected score (783 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 80.5% expected score (10 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.9% expected score (2,432 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 55.5% expected score (1,176 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 63.7% expected score (35 games)

Related Openings

Analyze Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation, Henneberger Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation, Henneberger Variation win rate?

The Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation, Henneberger Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 48K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation, Henneberger Variation perform best?

The Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation, Henneberger Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 51.6% win rate for white (3.6K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation, Henneberger Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.0%) outperforms Classical (44.2%) by 6.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation, Henneberger Variation?

The Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation, Henneberger Variation has a sharpness score of 94.3 (decisive), meaning 94.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation, Henneberger Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation, Henneberger Variation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 46.4%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 2.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation, Henneberger Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation, Henneberger Variation has a 50.8% (90% CI: 49.6%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 4.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation, Henneberger Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation, Henneberger Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.1%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 4.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation, Henneberger Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation, Henneberger Variation has a 49.0% (90% CI: 47.8%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 4.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation, Henneberger Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation, Henneberger Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 49.4%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 4.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation, Henneberger Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation, Henneberger Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 49.5%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 5.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation, Henneberger Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation, Henneberger Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 49.7%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 8.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.4% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation, Henneberger Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation, Henneberger Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 48.9%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 9.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 7.5% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation, Henneberger Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation, Henneberger Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 50.2%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 3.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 8.6% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation, Henneberger Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation, Henneberger Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.3%-51.7%) win rate for white (13K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation, Henneberger Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation, Henneberger Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.7%) win rate for white (26K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.4%.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation, Henneberger Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation, Henneberger Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 47.6%-49.4%) win rate for white (8.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation, Henneberger Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation, Henneberger Variation has a 44.2% (90% CI: 40.2%-48.3%) win rate for white (400 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.6%.

Is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation, Henneberger Variation a good opening?

The Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation, Henneberger Variation is statistically favors white with a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.