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Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation

248K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Key Finding

Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation leaves Black at 47.8% — pick a better weapon.

The minimum advantage of -4.8% means this line underperforms at the selected level.

You play
Tough Sell
Rating
Time
Black Expected Score47.8%Based on 248K gamesWin + ½×draw — predicts rating gain better than win rate
40%47.8%55%
Range (90% confident): 47.6% – 48.0%
Min adv-4.8%
ContextAll ratings · All speeds · n=248K
Outcome Distribution
5.Be2
Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation
Analyzen=248K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.7%

Sharpness — share of games that end decisively

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation has a 47.8% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 47.6% and 48.0%), based on 248K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 48% → 39%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.6% win rate (14,823 games)
  • 1000-1199: 45.6% win rate (27,493 games)
  • 1200-1399: 45.4% win rate (33,790 games)
  • 1400-1599: 45.8% win rate (32,132 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.8% win rate (29,511 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.9% win rate (34,149 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.1% win rate (36,108 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.0% win rate (30,139 games)
  • 2500+: 39.3% win rate (9,385 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (47%), worst in UltraBullet (42%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 42.1% win rate (254 games)
  • Bullet: 46.3% win rate (61,343 games)
  • Blitz: 44.5% win rate (124,141 games)
  • Rapid: 46.3% win rate (58,466 games)
  • Classical: 46.8% win rate (3,326 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter — click it again to clear. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (2,639 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (7,315 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.4% expected score (4,811 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 49.1% expected score (52 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 61.6% expected score (20 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (3,954 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 46.4% expected score (14,157 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (9,181 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 53.0% expected score (181 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 60.3% expected score (18 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (5,027 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 46.2% expected score (15,696 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 47.2% expected score (12,554 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 47.5% expected score (495 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 42.4% expected score (38 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (5,196 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 46.9% expected score (14,610 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (11,218 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 48.4% expected score (1,070 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 41.7% expected score (71 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (6,383 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.3% expected score (14,273 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.5% expected score (8,004 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 49.8% expected score (780 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 23.2% expected score (19 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (8,057 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (19,385 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.6% expected score (6,185 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 53.1% expected score (503 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 43.3% expected score (28 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (9,745 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (21,657 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (4,488 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 55.8% expected score (190 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 39.9% expected score (43 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (13,565 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 46.2% expected score (14,662 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 49.4% expected score (1,840 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 40.2% expected score (29 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 54.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 44.9% expected score (6,777 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 45.2% expected score (2,386 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 47.1% expected score (185 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 55.5% expected score (26 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Four Knights Game
47.3%
Variations (5)
Four Knights Game: Italian Variation
48.7%
Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation Accepted
51.9%
Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation
50.7%
Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Classical Variation
49.0%
Four Knights Game: Scotch Variation
52.8%
Continuations (3)
Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation, Henneberger Variation
50.1%
Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation, Marshall Variation
44.9%
Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation, Marshall Gambit
49.0%
Analyze Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates at your level with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation win rate?

The Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 248K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation perform best?

The Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 51.3% win rate for white (34K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (50.4%) outperforms Classical (46.9%) by 3.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation?

The Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation has a sharpness score of 95.3 (very decisive), meaning 95.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.1%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.5%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 27K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 34K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.2%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 32K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 30K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 34K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 36K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.1%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 30K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.3%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 9.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 11.6% draw rate.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation has a 53.8% (90% CI: 48.7%-58.9%) win rate for white (254 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.3%) win rate for white (61K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.6%) win rate for white (124K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.2%) win rate for white (58K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

What is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation has a 46.9% (90% CI: 45.5%-48.4%) win rate for white (3.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.2%.

Is the Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation a good opening?

The Four Knights Game: Spanish Variation, Rubinstein Variation is statistically favors white with a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.